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Bill the Cat
September 11th 2007, 11:32 AM
Just received the following letter from my commander: sorry for the bad formatting, it was a pdf that I OCR'd




Soldiers, Sailors, Airmen, Marines, Coast Guardsmen, and Civilians of Multi-National Force-Iraq:

We are now over two-and-a-half months into the surge of offensive operations made possible by the surge
of forces, and I want to share with you my view of how I think we're doing. This letter is a bit longer than
previous ones, since I feel you deserve a detailed description of what I believe we have - and have not -
accomplished, as Ambassador Crocker and I finalize the assessment we will provide shortly to Congress.
Up front, my sense is that we have achieved tactical momentum and wrested the initiative from our
enemies in a number of areas of Iraq. The result has been progress in the security arena, although it has, as
you know, been uneven. Additionally, as you a11 appreciate very well, innumerable tasks remain and much
hard work lies ahead. We are, in short, a long way from the goal line, but we do have the ball and we are
driving down the field.

We face a situation that is exceedingly complex A1 Qaeda, associated insurgent groups, and militia
extremists, some supported by Iran, continue to carry out attacks on us, our Iraqi partners, and the Iraqi
civilians we seek to secure. We have to contend with the relentless pace of operations, the crushing heat, and
the emotions that we all experience during long deployments and tough combat, And we operate against a
backdrop of limited Iraqi governmental capacity, institutions trying to rebuild, and various forms of
corruption. All of this takes place in a climate of distrust and fear that stems from the sectarian violence that
did so much damage to the fabric of Iraqi society in 2006 wd into 2007, not to mention the decades of
repression under Saddam's brutal regime. Tragically, sectarian violence continues to cause death and
displacement in Baghdad and elsewhere, albeit at considerably reduced levels from 8 months ago, due, in large
part, to your hard work and sacrifice together with our Iraqi counterparts.

In spite of these challenges, our operations - particularly the offensive operations we have conducted since
mid-June - have helped produce progress in many areas on the ground. In fact, the number of attacks across
the country has declined in 8 of the past 11 weeks, reaching during the last week in August a level not seen
since June 2006. This trend is not just a result of greater numbers of Coalition and Iraqi Security Forces; it
also reflects your determination, courage, and ski11 in conducting counterinsurgency operations. By taking the
fight to the enemy, you have killed or captured dozens of Leaders and thousands of members of A1 Qaeda-Iraq
and extremist militia elements, you have taken many of Al Qaeda's former sanctuaries away from them, and
you have dismantled a number of their car bomb and improvised explosive device networks. By Living among
the population with our Iraqi partners, you have been holding the areas you have cleared. By helping Iraqis
reestablish basic services and local governance, you have helped exploit the security gains. And by partnering
closely with Iraqi Security Forces, you have been strengthening Iraqi elements that will one day have sole
responsibility for protecting their population. Indeed, while Iraqi forces clearly remain a work in progress,
Iraqi soldiers and police are very much in the fight, and they continue to sustain losses that are two to three
times our losses.

We are also building momentum in an emerging area of considerable importance - local reconciliation.
Local Iraqi leaders are coming forward, opposing extremists, and establishing provisiona1 units of
neighborhood security volunteers. With growing Government of Iraq support, these volunteers are being
integrated into legitimate security institutions to help improve local security. While this concept is playing out
differently in various areas across Iraq, it is grounded in a desire shared by increasing numbers of Iraqis - to
oppose extremist elements and their ideologies. This is very significant because, as many of you know firsthand,
extremists cannot survive without the support of the population. The popular rejection of A1 Qaeda and
its ideology has, for example, helped transform Anbar Province this year from one of the most dangerous areas
of Iraq to one of the safest. The popular rejection of extremists has helped Coalition and Iraqi Forces take
away other areas from A1 Qaeda as well, and we are seeing a spread of this sentiment in m ever-increasing
number of Sunni areas. Now, in fact, we are also seeing a desire to reject extremists emerge in many Shi'a
areas.

The progress has not, to be sure, been uniform across Baghdad or across Iraq. Accomplishments in some
areas - for example, in Ramadi and in Anbar Province - have been greater than any of us might have predicted
six months ago. The achievements in some other areas - for example, in some particularly challenging
Baghdad neighborhoods and in reducing overall civilian casualties, especially those caused by periodic,
barbaric A1 Qaeda bombings - have not been as dramatic. However, the overall trajectory has been
encouraging, especially when compared to the situation at the height of the sectarian violence in late 2006 and
early 2007.

Many of us had hoped this summer would be a time of tangible political progress at the national level as
well. One of the justifications for the surge, after all, was that it would help create the space for Iraqi leaders
to tackle the tough questions and a p e on key pieces of "national reconciliation" legislation. It has not
worked out as we had hoped. All participants, Iraqi and coalition alike, are dissatisfied by the halting progress
on major legislative initiatives such as the oil framework law, revenue sharing, and de-ba'athification reform.
At the same time, however, our appreciation of what this legislation represents for Iraqi leaders has grown.
These laws are truly fundamental in nature and will help determine how Iraqis will share power and resources
in the new Iraq. While much work remains to be done before these critical issues are resolved, the seriousness
with which Iraqi leaders came together at their summit in late August has given hope that they are up to the
task before them, even if it is clearly taking more time than we initially expected.

In the coming months, our coalition's countries and all Iraqis will continue to depend on each of you and
on our Iraqi counterparts to keep the pressure on the extremists, to help improve security and strengthen the
rule of law for all Iraqis, to work with the Government of Iraq to integrate local volunteers into local security
and national institutions, to assist with the restoration and improvement of basic services, and to continue the
development of conditions that foster reconciliation. For our part, Ambassador Crocker and I will continue to
do everything in our power to help the Prime Minister and the Government of Iraq achieve the meaningful
results that will ensure that your sacrifices and those of your comrades help produce sustainable security for
Iraq over the long term. A stable and secure Iraq that denies extremists a safe haven and has a government that
is representative of and responsive to all Iraqis helps protect the vital interests of our coalition countries. A
stable and secure Iraq will also benefit Iraq's citizens and Iraq's neighbors alike, bringing calm to a region full
of challenges and employing Iraq's human capital and natural resource blessings for the benefit of all.

As I noted at the outset of this letter, over the next few days, Ambassador Crocker and I will share with the
U.S. Congress and the American people our assessment of the situation in Iraq. I will also describe the
recommendations I have provided to my chain of command. I will go before Congress conscious of the strain
on our forces, the sacrifices that you and your families are making, the gains we have made in Iraq, the
challenges that remain, and the importance of building on what we and our Iraqi counterparts have fought so
hard to achieve.

Thanks once again for what each of you continues to do. Our Nations have asked much of you and your
families. It remains the greatest of honors to serve with you.

Sincerely,
David H. Petraeus
General, United States Army
Commanding

SteveF
September 11th 2007, 11:43 AM
Interesting, thanks Bill.

My loose, fairly uninformed feeling, is that the surge has worked to some degree but maybe not as much as might have been hoped. For example, the Government Accountability Report paints a more negative picture of the overall situation:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,295704,00.html

Jimmy Higgins
September 13th 2007, 10:35 AM
Interesting, thanks Bill.

My loose, fairly uninformed feeling, is that the surge has worked to some degree but maybe not as much as might have been hoped. For example, the Government Accountability Report paints a more negative picture of the overall situation:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,295704,00.htmlI feel like how I would of felt if Coach Raymond Berry said, "If we just had 60 more minutes, we could still beat the Bears" in the aftermath of Super Bowl XX. People on the Right hooting and hollering about progress in Iraq that is coming four plus years too late.

Fact remains we can't keep the troops levels where they are, regardless of political power. The military doesn't have the numbers. This sort of deal also reminds me of the Republican postering when elections were held in Iraq, as if that milestone would carry unstopable momentum for progress.

We have so much needed to be accomplished still. And the Bush Admin has clearly shown themselves incapable of knowing how to accomplish it.

Tladatsi
September 13th 2007, 10:17 PM
Bill (and Dave I guess),

Here is the problem as I see it. None of the items spelled out by Gen. Petraeus has anything much to do with what the "surge" was supposed to accomplish. When President Bush announced the surge, he set out certain goals.

Now let me explain the main elements of this effort: The Iraqi government will appoint a military commander and two deputy commanders for their capital. The Iraqi government will deploy Iraqi Army and National Police brigades across Baghdad's nine districts. When these forces are fully deployed, there will be 18 Iraqi Army and National Police brigades committed to this effort, along with local police. These Iraqi forces will operate from local police stations -- conducting patrols and setting up checkpoints, and going door-to-door to gain the trust of Baghdad residents.

To establish its authority, the Iraqi government plans to take responsibility for security in all of Iraq's provinces by November. To give every Iraqi citizen a stake in the country's economy, Iraq will pass legislation to share oil revenues among all Iraqis. To show that it is committed to delivering a better life, the Iraqi government will spend $10 billion of its own money on reconstruction and infrastructure projects that will create new jobs. To empower local leaders, Iraqis plan to hold provincial elections later this year. And to allow more Iraqis to re-enter their nation's political life, the government will reform de-Baathification laws, and establish a fair process for considering amendments to Iraq's constitution.

We will use America's full diplomatic resources to rally support for Iraq from nations throughout the Middle East. Countries like Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, and the Gulf States need to understand that an American defeat in Iraq would create a new sanctuary for extremists and a strategic threat to their survival.

http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/01/20070110-7.html

Have these goals been met? Has the Iraqi government used this period of supposed reduced violence to begin national reconciliation, pass the laws spelled out, and have it's troops and police take the lead in ending the civil war engulfing Iraq. The answer is clearly no. The government is on the verge of collapse, the Iraqi armed forces play no more of a role in holding the country together than they did six months ago or three years ago. US diplomatic efforts have failed to secure new international support.

The successes that Gen. Petraeus outlines are not what the surge was set out to do. First, in the President's January address he claims that US forces are already successful in al-Anbar province so the US forces are no more successful now in al-Anbar (a province that is nearly 100% Sunni Arab) than they were in January. The President was saying he wanted to extend the success to other Baghdad. Second, sectarian violence, if it really is down, is likely down because so many neighborhoods have been "cleansed", Sunni out of Shia neighborhoods and Shia out of Sunni neighborhoods. There are just fewer people left to cleanse. This is to say nothing of the millions of Iraqis who have fled the country.

The surge was supposed to accomplish a particular set of objectives, none of which were met. Anything else is beside the point.

Timothy Leary
September 13th 2007, 10:21 PM
I say we drop in another 470,000 troops, and do the job right.
Cause we should have gone in with 500,000 - 600,000 troops.

Bill the Cat
September 14th 2007, 07:31 AM
Bill (and Dave I guess),


Meh, I just wanted to post the correspondence that he sent to us troops.

nomad
September 18th 2007, 04:46 PM
I don't think Iraq is doing much worse than, say, France right after its revolution, or ancient Rome (buying elections appears to have been the national pastime, second only to bribery and extortion of senators), and the US even had its stumbles as it got started (though it was more 'polite' - burr vs. jefferson in the duel, etc). The death wish mentality of the extremists over there doesn't help, but overall it is going to take time. Time, and prosperity are about the only things that can let it proceed out of a police state.