If this guy manages to win electoral votes and it does nothing for US third parties because he's only got a shot in hell of winning his home state and won't hit anywhere relevant to the numbers needed nationally?
Oh, and check out this crazy stuff about Trumps odds of winning. You know whats funny though? Ever since the middle of last month where trump started taking hits in the polls those metrics I linked started tracking really interestingly in one small fashion.
map.jpg
So for Trump to win he needs to cross that dotted black line so that means Arizona, where he's down 10 points; Iowa, down 16; Ohio, down 29; North Carolina. down, down 45; Florida, down 51; Nevada, down 50; and finally Minnesota as Trumps hardest state and the one he needs as of that picture to win for him to become President. Now Minnesota is going to Hillary 87.3% of the time, a 74 point spread, and 538 has the Democrats taking the Presidency at, 87.4% chance.
Haha. Trump could beat the odds in Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Florida AND Nevada and he'd still need to somehow beat a 74 point spread.
Now, I'm not gambling man, but so neither is Trump so what's it matter, haha
Oh, and check out this crazy stuff about Trumps odds of winning. You know whats funny though? Ever since the middle of last month where trump started taking hits in the polls those metrics I linked started tracking really interestingly in one small fashion.
map.jpg
So for Trump to win he needs to cross that dotted black line so that means Arizona, where he's down 10 points; Iowa, down 16; Ohio, down 29; North Carolina. down, down 45; Florida, down 51; Nevada, down 50; and finally Minnesota as Trumps hardest state and the one he needs as of that picture to win for him to become President. Now Minnesota is going to Hillary 87.3% of the time, a 74 point spread, and 538 has the Democrats taking the Presidency at, 87.4% chance.
Haha. Trump could beat the odds in Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Florida AND Nevada and he'd still need to somehow beat a 74 point spread.
Now, I'm not gambling man, but so neither is Trump so what's it matter, haha
Comment