Originally posted by rogue06
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Yes, they like to take credit (Obama did too), and they are certainly impacted by it (a bad economy is not usually good for a president, a good economy tends to be good for re-election). Congress has somewhat more of an effect - depending on what legislation they pass, and I suppose one could say the president has an indirect effect based on what he does and does not sign. But even that does not tend to have major impact as much as it once did - on this world of global economics. Job growth, which Trump loves to take credit for, is actually at par (or slightly below) what it was in Obama's second term. So, on an economic front, there is not a great deal of difference between what was and what is. Wall Street loves the promises of tax breaks and deregulation - but the larger percentage of the American public didn't like what Republicans were trying to do to health care, and the majority don't like what is happening with tax breaks.
But even if the case were to be made that the economy is "going gangbusters" due to Trump - the economy was actually pretty healthy when he took office, coming out of a deep recession, and there are a lot of people out there (myself included) who simply don't see the economy and money as the most important value. We look at what is being done to the ecology, to the gap between rich and poor, to the accessibility of affordable healthcare, and to simple human decency in the public square - and we are not impressed. I think you are going to see those folks come out in droves in 2018, and again in 2020 to reverse those courses. We do not like the anti-muslim tone. We do not like the way racial issues have been handled. We do not like the childish name-calling and even-getting and megalomania. We do not like seeing breaks going to those who least need it. We do not like seeing protections for our ecology being eroded. We are not willing to be herded by false claims about terrorism and immigrants.
And we vote. We are going to be voting in record numbers in 2018 and again in 2020 - I'm fairly certain. Every special election we have seen since Trump took office has seen a shift to the left, by an average of over 10 points. Most were in deeply red districts, so that was not enough to take the seat (until Alabama), but if that trend continues in 2018, the left will easily pick up the 24 seats needed to take control of the House. The Senate is not as likely, given the number of seats being defended by each party, but there is still a chance there.
And frankly, if the right doesn't run a decent candidate in 2020 against Trump - I predict he is going to go down. It may not be a landslide, because traditionally red states and his core base will continue to support him. But the swing states will not. He's simply alienated too many people - and continues to do so.
My hope is that the House shifts hands in 2018, and the Executive in 2020. If the senate does as well - that will be a concern for me. I do not like having all three (Executive and both Houses of Congress) in the hands of one party. But if that is what it takes to keep SCOTUS from shifting too far to the right, I'll tolerate it for one election cycle. Then I'd prefer to see a more even distribution of control.
I'd also like to see a return to bipartisan discussion and debate. Right now that is not on the table. Perhaps with Trump out and a president truly interested in bringing people together in, we might see some change.
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