Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball has an interesting article this week. I hadn't realized the Democrats were defending so many seats - a whooping 26! Granted, we're just now watching most candidates getting into the gate good, but the track is looking a little muddier than the Democrats were hoping it would be.
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2018 Senatorial Elections May Be More Interesting Than Usual
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2018 Senatorial Elections May Be More Interesting Than Usual
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Yup, could go either way. The Dems have more senate seats to defend (26 vs 8). But they've got the populace's anti-Trump sentiment working for them, current polling putting Trump's favorability around -16 and putting Dems ahead by 7 points on a "generic ballot". So it will be close.
With regard to governorships, the terrain runs the other way: Dems are defending 9, while the Republicans have 26 to defend. So the Dems seem likely to pick up a dozen state governorships.
The 2018 election will obviously be heavily affected by how the economy and stock market are feeling in November, as well as whether Trump has gone to war with NK or not, and what the results of Mueller's investigation are."I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
"Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
"[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein
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Originally posted by Starlight View PostYup, could go either way. The Dems have more senate seats to defend (26 vs 8). But they've got the populace's anti-Trump sentiment working for them, current polling putting Trump's favorability around -16 and putting Dems ahead by 7 points on a "generic ballot". So it will be close.
With regard to governorships, the terrain runs the other way: Dems are defending 9, while the Republicans have 26 to defend. So the Dems seem likely to pick up a dozen state governorships.
The 2018 election will obviously be heavily affected by how the economy and stock market are feeling in November, as well as whether Trump has gone to war with NK or not, and what the results of Mueller's investigation are.
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostAn anti-Trump sentiment that may be evaporating since the passage of the tax bill and an improving economy (Trump's favorability has gone up 10 points this year in most polls) and its beginning to dawn on people what a scam the whole Trump-Putin collusion thing has been. If (and that's a big if) the economy continues to steadily improve it might be hard to run on a platform that promotes a return to economic stagnation.The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostIf (and that's a big if) the economy continues to steadily improve it might be hard to run on a platform that promotes a return to economic stagnation."I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
"Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
"[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein
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