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Three Curtains
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Originally posted by mossrose View PostI would forget the beans and buy the chocolate cake!
The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by Sparko View PostThat's what
- She
Without a clear-cut definition of sin, morality becomes a mere argument over the best way to train animals
- Manya the Holy Szin (The Quintara Marathon)
I may not be as old as dirt, but me and dirt are starting to have an awful lot in common
- Stephen R. Donaldson
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Originally posted by rstrats View PostYou are a contestant on a game show. There are three curtains. Behind one of the curtains is a new car. You are asked to choose one of the curtains. Lets say that you choose curtain #1. The host of the show - who knows where the car is so as not to end the game prematurely - opens curtain #3 and of course there is no car behind it. The host now gives you a choice. You can stay with curtain #1 or you can change your choice to curtain #2. The question now is: would it be to your advantage to stay with curtain #1, or would it be to your advantage to change to curtain #2 or would there be no advantage either way?That's what
- She
Without a clear-cut definition of sin, morality becomes a mere argument over the best way to train animals
- Manya the Holy Szin (The Quintara Marathon)
I may not be as old as dirt, but me and dirt are starting to have an awful lot in common
- Stephen R. Donaldson
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Bill the Cat,
re: "It depends on whether [the host] always opens the highest number [curtain] available to him or if his selection of the [curtain] is random."
Future games are irrelevant to the one time game set forth in the OP. It states that the host knows where the car is so as not to prematurely end the game. This should make it clear that the host was only going to open a curtain which he knew didn't have the car behind it.
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Originally posted by rstrats View PostBill the Cat,
re: "It depends on whether [the host] always opens the highest number [curtain] available to him or if his selection of the [curtain] is random."
Future games are irrelevant to the one time game set forth in the OP. It states that the host knows where the car is so as not to prematurely end the game. This should make it clear that the host was only going to open a curtain which he knew didn't have the car behind it.The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by rstrats View PostBill the Cat,
re: "It depends on whether [the host] always opens the highest number [curtain] available to him or if his selection of the [curtain] is random."
Future games are irrelevant to the one time game set forth in the OP. It states that the host knows where the car is so as not to prematurely end the game. This should make it clear that the host was only going to open a curtain which he knew didn't have the car behind it.That's what
- She
Without a clear-cut definition of sin, morality becomes a mere argument over the best way to train animals
- Manya the Holy Szin (The Quintara Marathon)
I may not be as old as dirt, but me and dirt are starting to have an awful lot in common
- Stephen R. Donaldson
Comment
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Bill the Cat,
re: " It is unclear whether he did that as an act of random choice or not."
What is unclear about " the host knows where the car is so as not to prematurely end the game"? If he opened a curtain at random there would a 1/3rd chance of ending the game before giving the contestant the option of switching.
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I think because the host could have chosen the lowest number instead - the random uncertainty being with regards to why he made that choice. Did it just suit his fancy or was there some logic to it?"He is no fool who gives what he cannot keep to gain that which he cannot lose." - Jim Elliot
"Forgiveness is the way of love." Gary Chapman
My Personal Blog
My Novella blog (Current Novella Begins on 7/25/14)
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Originally posted by rstrats View PostBill the Cat,
re: " It is unclear whether he did that as an act of random choice or not."
What is unclear about " the host knows where the car is so as not to prematurely end the game"? If he opened a curtain at random there would a 1/3rd chance of ending the game before giving the contestant the option of switching.That's what
- She
Without a clear-cut definition of sin, morality becomes a mere argument over the best way to train animals
- Manya the Holy Szin (The Quintara Marathon)
I may not be as old as dirt, but me and dirt are starting to have an awful lot in common
- Stephen R. Donaldson
Comment
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Originally posted by Bill the Cat View PostNot what I mean. The one of the two doors he knows do not contain the car are either chosen randomly, or he chooses the highest number available to him.
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