Here's one attempt to do the math...
Does Pelosi have the votes to become speaker?
But whether those 11 and 9 will all vote against her remains to be seen.
Does Pelosi have the votes to become speaker?
As House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi works to shore up support for her bid to be become speaker of the House in the 116th Congress, The Fix is analyzing whether she has the votes to win the position. Right now, it’s not clear that she does.
If the current leads hold in the six outstanding House races not yet called by the Associated Press, Democrats will control 233 seats next year.
This assumes that every Republican will vote against her, and no members vote present.
The Democratic caucus will vote on their leadership on Nov. 28, and the final floor vote for Speaker before the whole House will be on Jan. 3.
While it is unclear which, if any, members will vote against Pelosi on the House floor, the nine non-incumbent Democrats opposed to her combined with the 11 incumbents who previously pledged to vote against Pelosi would be enough to prevent her from reaching the needed 218 votes. In 2016, 63 Democrats voted against Pelosi in a caucus vote but only four voted against her on the floor less than two months later.
If the current leads hold in the six outstanding House races not yet called by the Associated Press, Democrats will control 233 seats next year.
This assumes that every Republican will vote against her, and no members vote present.
The Democratic caucus will vote on their leadership on Nov. 28, and the final floor vote for Speaker before the whole House will be on Jan. 3.
While it is unclear which, if any, members will vote against Pelosi on the House floor, the nine non-incumbent Democrats opposed to her combined with the 11 incumbents who previously pledged to vote against Pelosi would be enough to prevent her from reaching the needed 218 votes. In 2016, 63 Democrats voted against Pelosi in a caucus vote but only four voted against her on the floor less than two months later.
But whether those 11 and 9 will all vote against her remains to be seen.
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