Straight Pride Parade Permit Submitted To City Of Modesto

[Jim B.]

Again, you're hearing the cases that "make the news". Kinda like you never hear a coworker say, "Hey, I drove in to work this morning and ALL FOUR of my tires stayed inflated!"

No, I'm hearing from every black guy I've ever heard talk about it , that's all. It's not selective bias. You're confusing two different things. I agree that the vast majority of traffic stops go off without a hitch, but I'm also saying that maybe all black people are not lying, that maybe there's a problem here.

https://www.politico.com/story/2016/...-senate-225507

[Cow Poke]

No, I'm hearing from every black guy I've ever heard talk about it , that's all. It's not selective bias. You're confusing two different things. I agree that the vast majority of traffic stops go off without a hitch, but I'm also saying that maybe all black people are not lying, that maybe there's a problem here.

https://www.politico.com/story/2016/...-senate-225507

Maybe you need to widen your circle of acquaintances.

[Charles]

Maybe you need to widen your circle of acquaintances.

Maybe you need to widen your circle of acquaintances.

[Cow Poke]

Maybe you need to widen your circle of acquaintances.

Wow, how very CLEVER! Is that YOU, Potsie Webber?

[Jim B.]

Maybe you need to widen your circle of acquaintances.

They're not my acquaintances. This is from an interview conducted by John Sides of Political Scientists Frank Baumgartner, Derek Epp, and Kelsey Shoub about their book, Suspect Citizen. The interview was published in the Washington Post.

A key topic in the book is who is targeted for traffic stops. What did your findings reveal about racial disparities in both who gets stopped and what happens during the stop?

We found that, compared to their share in the population, blacks are almost twice as likely to be pulled over as whites — even though whites drive more on average, by the way. We also discovered that blacks are more likely to be searched following a stop. Just by getting in a car, a black driver has about twice the odds of being pulled over, and about four times the odds of being searched. Hispanic drivers, overall, are no more likely than whites to be pulled over, but much more likely to be searched.
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These racial disparities are particularly pronounced among men rather than women, and younger men rather than older ones. So the numbers certainly validate the idea that young black and Hispanic men are commonly viewed as suspects, not as citizens, by the police.

You note in the book that these racial disparities would be less noteworthy if they were simply due to underlying differences in criminality. But that’s not the case, correct?

It certainly does not appear to be the case. African Americans are much more likely to be searched after a stop than white drivers, but less likely to be found with drugs, guns, alcohol or other forms of contraband after discretionary searches. Hispanic drivers in particular are much less likely to be found with contraband after a search, compared to whites.

So blacks and Hispanics are more likely than whites to be stopped and searched, but whites who get searched are more likely to have committed a crime?

Contraband hit rates are 36, 33 and 22 percent for whites, blacks and Hispanics, respectively. So, yes, whites are more likely to be found with contraband. Note that all contraband hits do not lead to arrest, as many “hits” are very small amounts. But our general point is that the stereotyping that seems to be widely used — based on race, age and gender — puts young men of color at a distinct disadvantage. They are over-targeted, statistically speaking.

If it’s not criminality, what does help explain these racial disparities?

Stereotyping based on demographics. The way you look. The time of day or night. The location. All these factors have a significant impact on the likelihood of a search. Young men, especially minority men, are searched much more often. When we control for every factor included in the database, we cannot explain that disparity with any nonracial variable, and we do not find that it is justified by contraband hit rates or even arrests. Many police leaders have said it relates to location: those in high-crime areas are searched more. But when we were able to control for this, we still found that blacks were searched at higher rates than whites in the same area. So, as far as we can tell, the police use visible cues to determine the likelihood of criminality, and those tend to cause an overly great focus on young men of color.

You have a quote from defenders of this kind of policing: “You have to kiss a lot of frogs before you find your prince” — meaning, you have to stop lots of people who aren’t really criminals in order to find a criminal. But you argue that the costs of this kind of policing outweigh the benefits.

Using traffic stops to crack down on violent crime and drug trafficking has always been an inefficient strategy. It would be one thing if the police could tell by looking who might be involved in crime. But we find that just about 30 percent of searches lead to contraband hits, but only about 10 percent of these are what one would think of as a large hit. Most of the contraband discovered is very small amounts. For example, if it is ounces of drugs, it is less than one ounce, with fewer than 1 percent of the seizures being more than 10 ounces. Typically, contraband seizures are so small they do not lead to arrest.

And since searches occur only in about 3 percent of traffic stops, our conclusion is that we would all be better off if traffic stops were focused simply on unsafe drivers and if the police used other means to investigate crimes. Making 10,000 traffic stops in order to find three criminals is not a good strategy.

When Philando Castile was killed in 2016, research later showed he had been pulled over at least 46 times previously. Naturally, someone surveilled so commonly by law enforcement understands that they are more a suspect than a citizen, in the eyes of the police. We need to recognize the costs of these police strategies and compare them with the benefits.

Is there any kind of solution that might reduce racial disparities while perhaps actually improving the effectiveness of policing?

Absolutely. Emphasize traffic safety rather than regulatory enforcement. And reduce the search rate, particularly in cases without probable cause. These two simple reforms can reduce racial disparities dramatically. After such reforms were initiated in Fayetteville, N.C., community trust in the police appears to have increased, with no increase in the crime rate. In fact, the reforms helped reduce crime by enhancing community trust and cooperation with the police.

How has this research been received by police officers or leaders that you’ve interacted with?

After we issued our first 12-page report, the North Carolina Association of Chiefs of Police commissioned a 100-plus page report dismissing our findings as “deeply flawed.” A bill was introduced to stop collecting the data. So, it’s probably fair to say the initial response was hostile.

But, like the stages of grief, this response has shifted from anger and denial to something more positive. Chiefs, sheriffs and other law enforcement leaders have engaged with us very constructively and taken their own steps to attempt to reduce these disparities, to monitor their officers, and to take better account of just how they want to use the vehicle code.

Most recognize that drunk drivers, excessive speeders and those who ignore stop signs are true threats to community safety, and focusing on them will save more lives than questioning poor and minority community members about a crack on their windshield. So, we have seen significant engagement, and we look forward to more.

Find more details about “Suspect Citizens” here.
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John Sides
John Sides is Professor of Political Science at George Washington University. He specializes in public opinion, voting, and American elections.

[KingsGambit]

Biden is not alone in gaffes today, at least.

The leader of the group speaking the permit spoke at a city council meeting. When accused of being racist, he said, "We're a totally peaceful racist group." He didn't get a chance to correct himself because the laughter in the room was too loud.

https://www.nbcnews.com/feature/nbc-...nizer-n1040816