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The blue-state exodus gains momentum

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  • The blue-state exodus gains momentum

    The blue-state exodus gains momentum

    As is pointed out in the article, some of the people who are moving from the blue states to escape the idiotic governance and taxation are, oddly enough, bringing their same beliefs and support for that kind of crap to the red states.



    The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.

  • #2
    Originally posted by Cow Poke View Post
    The blue-state exodus gains momentum

    As is pointed out in the article, some of the people who are moving from the blue states to escape the idiotic governance and taxation are, oddly enough, bringing their same beliefs and support for that kind of crap to the red states.
    Like plague bearers.

    I'm always still in trouble again

    "You're by far the worst poster on TWeb" and "TWeb's biggest liar" --starlight (the guy who says Stalin was a right-winger)
    "Overall I would rate the withdrawal from Afghanistan as by far the best thing Biden's done" --Starlight
    "Of course, human life begins at fertilization that’s not the argument." --Tassman

    Comment


    • #3
      Once Texas turns blue in the next decade where will Cow Poke go? Or stay and keep fighting the losing fight?

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by DivineOb View Post
        Once Texas turns blue in the next decade where will Cow Poke go? Or stay and keep fighting the losing fight?
        Cow Poke will stay right here serving the Risen Lord.
        The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.

        Comment


        • #5
          The thing is, they are also leaving their bubble. The question is will they continue to vote that way over time - the answer is probably not.

          Except the ones moving to Austin, obviously...
          "He is no fool who gives what he cannot keep to gain that which he cannot lose." - Jim Elliot

          "Forgiveness is the way of love." Gary Chapman

          My Personal Blog

          My Novella blog (Current Novella Begins on 7/25/14)

          Quill Sword

          Comment


          • #6
            You read the craziest fantasy articles.

            Higher tax rates (aka 'big government') correlate with increased reported happiness on average, both among US states, and among OECD countries...

            Happiness v Taxes for US States.gif

            happiness plot3.jpg

            (Note the axes are different in those two graphs - happiest and highest taxed is bottom-right on first, and top-right on second)

            There are many things that contribute to happiness and success in a country or state, but overall, higher taxes appear to be among the things that make countries or states more successful and their citizens happier (note: because those taxes are spent on things that benefit people, I'm not suggesting that the act of paying taxes itself makes anyone happy). The happiest countries in the world are Finland Denmark and their taxes are the highest in the OECD at ~45% of GDP.

            Research shows that even rich people are happier in those countries with higher taxes. I guess having governments that spend more on their people and help the needy makes for a nicer society where rich people actually enjoy their lives more and that this more than offsets the pain of higher taxes.
            "I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
            "Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
            "[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Starlight View Post
              You read the craziest fantasy articles.
              I think that pretty much every time I read one of your posts.
              The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                You read the craziest fantasy articles.

                Higher tax rates (aka 'big government') correlate with increased reported happiness on average, both among US states, and among OECD countries...

                [ATTACH=CONFIG]42062[/ATTACH]

                [ATTACH=CONFIG]42064[/ATTACH]

                (Note the axes are different in those two graphs - happiest and highest taxed is bottom-right on first, and top-right on second)

                There are many things that contribute to happiness and success in a country or state, but overall, higher taxes appear to be among the things that make countries or states more successful and their citizens happier (note: because those taxes are spent on things that benefit people, I'm not suggesting that the act of paying taxes itself makes anyone happy). The happiest countries in the world are Finland Denmark and their taxes are the highest in the OECD at ~45% of GDP.

                Research shows that even rich people are happier in those countries with higher taxes. I guess having governments that spend more on their people and help the needy makes for a nicer society where rich people actually enjoy their lives more and that this more than offsets the pain of higher taxes.
                "The man from the yacht thought he was the first to find England; I thought I was the first to find Europe. I did try to found a heresy of my own; and when I had put the last touches to it, I discovered that it was orthodoxy."
                GK Chesterton; Orthodoxy

                Comment


                • #9
                  The correlation between higher taxes and happiness seems relatively linear in the range 20%-45% of GDP, but there is no OECD data above that and I presume that it begins to drop off in the higher ranges. I tend to presume the maximum probably occurs about 50% GDP, but it might be slightly higher than that, and it's possible it changes with time, technology, total wealth, and society.

                  Communist countries where one could loosely say they had 100% tax were pretty much uniformly very poor countries prior to the adoption of communism, so it's comparing apples and oranges to compare those with modern OECD nations, but the data on them suggests that happiness was pretty low among them, though its hard to know how much of that effect to attribute to the economic system as opposed to their authoritarian tendencies which we know impact happiness negatively.

                  Overall I would say the data currently points to something like 50% of GDP being taxed as optimal. Essentially that would make the economy an exact mix of public and private, with half the spending being private spending and half being public spending - a perfect middle ground between 100% government communism and 0% government libertarianism. In that sense, I advocate perfect centrism and am smack bang in the middle of an international political spectrum. Of course, as applied to the US (where taxes are currently ~24% of GDP) this would mean I suggest that the US should double its total tax revenues, and so am a leftist in a US content (note that doubling total tax revenues is not the same as doubling income tax rates, and I would suggest that the US raise those increased government revenues by taxing companies, wealth taxes on the rich, financial market taxes etc, not by taxing the average person more highly).
                  "I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
                  "Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
                  "[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                    You read the craziest fantasy articles.

                    Higher tax rates (aka 'big government') correlate with increased reported happiness on average, both among US states, and among OECD countries...
                    Which of course explains why they are fleeing "utopia" en masse and going to where they won't be happy.

                    I'm always still in trouble again

                    "You're by far the worst poster on TWeb" and "TWeb's biggest liar" --starlight (the guy who says Stalin was a right-winger)
                    "Overall I would rate the withdrawal from Afghanistan as by far the best thing Biden's done" --Starlight
                    "Of course, human life begins at fertilization that’s not the argument." --Tassman

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by rogue06 View Post
                      Which of course explains why they are fleeing "utopia" en masse and going to where they won't be happy.
                      It looks like the main effect is that boomers are retiring and moving to sunny states for their retirement. The OP admitted that people moving weren't changing their politics, and were maintaining their old voting behaviors in their new location, so it seems clear they weren't deliberately looking to 'flee' from a blue state to a red state.
                      "I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
                      "Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
                      "[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                        It looks like the main effect is that boomers are retiring and moving to sunny states for their retirement.
                        Oh, yes, that's why the BIGGEST gain (percentage) has actually been North Dakota - everybody knows North Dakota is a veritable land of "sunny beaches" and sunshine year round.

                        (they're moving there for jobs in the Baaken Shale oil & gas boom)

                        The OP admitted that people moving weren't changing their politics, and were maintaining their old voting behaviors in their new location, so it seems clear they weren't deliberately looking to 'flee' from a blue state to a red state.
                        Actually, it didn't say "they", it said "some".

                        But that trend also highlights a problem: Some of the people
                        Last edited by Cow Poke; 01-12-2020, 07:09 AM.
                        The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                          It looks like the main effect is that boomers are retiring and moving to sunny states for their retirement.
                          Which of course explains why they are fleeing Calfiornivania in droves.

                          I'm always still in trouble again

                          "You're by far the worst poster on TWeb" and "TWeb's biggest liar" --starlight (the guy who says Stalin was a right-winger)
                          "Overall I would rate the withdrawal from Afghanistan as by far the best thing Biden's done" --Starlight
                          "Of course, human life begins at fertilization that’s not the argument." --Tassman

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                            The correlation between higher taxes and happiness seems relatively linear in the range 20%-45% of GDP, but there is no OECD data above that and I presume that it begins to drop off in the higher ranges. I tend to presume the maximum probably occurs about 50% GDP, but it might be slightly higher than that, and it's possible it changes with time, technology, total wealth, and society.
                            Communist countries where one could loosely say they had 100% tax were pretty much uniformly very poor countries prior to the adoption of communism, so it's comparing apples and oranges to compare those with modern OECD nations, but the data on them suggests that happiness was pretty low among them, though its hard to know how much of that effect to attribute to the economic system as opposed to their authoritarian tendencies which we know impact happiness negatively.
                            So even when evidence suggests that tax rates alone, may not play into the happiness index, you ignore it and continue on your merry way.

                            Overall I would say the data currently points to something like 50% of GDP being taxed as optimal. Essentially that would make the economy an exact mix of public and private, with half the spending being private spending and half being public spending - a perfect middle ground between 100% government communism and 0% government libertarianism. In that sense, I advocate perfect centrism and am smack bang in the middle of an international political spectrum. Of course, as applied to the US (where taxes are currently ~24% of GDP) this would mean I suggest that the US should double its total tax revenues, and so am a leftist in a US content (note that doubling total tax revenues is not the same as doubling income tax rates, and I would suggest that the US raise those increased government revenues by taxing companies, wealth taxes on the rich, financial market taxes etc, not by taxing the average person more highly).
                            Last edited by lilpixieofterror; 01-12-2020, 09:23 AM.
                            "The man from the yacht thought he was the first to find England; I thought I was the first to find Europe. I did try to found a heresy of my own; and when I had put the last touches to it, I discovered that it was orthodoxy."
                            GK Chesterton; Orthodoxy

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                              It looks like the main effect is that boomers are retiring and moving to sunny states for their retirement. The OP admitted that people moving weren't changing their politics, and were maintaining their old voting behaviors in their new location, so it seems clear they weren't deliberately looking to 'flee' from a blue state to a red state.
                              "The man from the yacht thought he was the first to find England; I thought I was the first to find Europe. I did try to found a heresy of my own; and when I had put the last touches to it, I discovered that it was orthodoxy."
                              GK Chesterton; Orthodoxy

                              Comment

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