The pattern of the coronavirus over time is becoming clear when comparing United States, United Kingdom, Spain, and Italy. The comparison shows that Spain, and Italy developed spread of the coronavirus before the USA, and the United Kingdom follow the same pattern. Italy and Spain are beginning to peak into the hump of the bell curve, and the predicted pattern would indicate that the USA and the United Kingdom will follow in a week or so and begin to approach the peak of a natural virus bell curve.
Look for this graph in this reference:
I refer to these countries, even though the true number of deaths may not be necessarily accurate, but I believe it is reliable for comparison. The case and fatality rates for China are of course, unreliable big time, but they follow the same bell curve pattern, which is the normal pattern for all the related viruses.
I predict the total fatalities in the USA to be between 15,000 and at most 30,000. following the natural course of the coronavirus. The total will depend on the success of intervention strategies.
If this natural pattern continues, and it most likely will, Fauci's glaring incompetent prediction of 100,000 to 240,000 that would require 5,000,000 to 10,000,000 cases a cruel joke at best to make Trump look good in July for being the hero that defeated the coronavirus as bogus as China's claims.
Look for this graph in this reference:
I refer to these countries, even though the true number of deaths may not be necessarily accurate, but I believe it is reliable for comparison. The case and fatality rates for China are of course, unreliable big time, but they follow the same bell curve pattern, which is the normal pattern for all the related viruses.
I predict the total fatalities in the USA to be between 15,000 and at most 30,000. following the natural course of the coronavirus. The total will depend on the success of intervention strategies.
If this natural pattern continues, and it most likely will, Fauci's glaring incompetent prediction of 100,000 to 240,000 that would require 5,000,000 to 10,000,000 cases a cruel joke at best to make Trump look good in July for being the hero that defeated the coronavirus as bogus as China's claims.
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