Theists are welcome to post in this thread, to offer prayers in this thread, and to speak from their religious beliefs in this thread. It's time to reach out beyond our religious and political differences in the face of the covid 19 pandemic.
Everyone should stay home
We're looking at a minimum of hundreds of thousands dying just in the US.
That's an order of magnitude away from the most likely scenarios. Americans should prepare for over a million deaths. I know how horrific that sounds. It was the number that came from my first back-of-the-envelope calculation and it still shocks me. And it's the number that others have arrived at as well, now in a formal report that is changing national policies.
Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand
They predict an 81 percent infection rate in the US and GB over the course of the pandemic.
Hundreds of thousands at minimum
There are 46 million Americans over 60.
The actual figure should be between those.
Until there's a vaccine, everyone should stay home.
Everyone should stay home
We're looking at a minimum of hundreds of thousands dying just in the US.
That's an order of magnitude away from the most likely scenarios. Americans should prepare for over a million deaths. I know how horrific that sounds. It was the number that came from my first back-of-the-envelope calculation and it still shocks me. And it's the number that others have arrived at as well, now in a formal report that is changing national policies.
Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand
They predict an 81 percent infection rate in the US and GB over the course of the pandemic.
Hundreds of thousands at minimum
... However, the resulting mitigated epidemic would still likely result in hundreds of thousands of deaths and health systems (most notably intensive care units) being overwhelmed many times over. For countries able to achieve it, this leaves suppression as the preferred policy option.
There are 46 million Americans over 60.
The actual figure should be between those.
... health systems (most notably intensive care units) being overwhelmed many times over.
Until there's a vaccine, everyone should stay home.
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