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Trump’s poor handling of the crisis may lose him the GOP’s most reliable voters

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  • #16
    Originally posted by Sparko View Post
    There, there, there. Take it easy... you can believe your polls if you need to.

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]45010[/ATTACH]
    What's the point you're trying to make here, John? That 538 didn't say Trump had a 1/3 chance of winning? That the polls weren't pretty accurate and if 90K votes had gone differently no one would be questioning the validity of polls?

    I mean, I'm flattered that you busted out MS Paint to fail at mocking me but maybe your effort would be better spent elsewhere...
    Last edited by DivineOb; 05-26-2020, 03:14 PM.

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    • #17
      Originally posted by DivineOb View Post
      What's the point you're trying to make here? That 538 didn't say Trump had a 1/3 chance of winning? That the polls weren't pretty accurate and if 90K votes had gone differently no one would be questioning the validity of polls?

      I mean, I'm flattered that you busted out MS Paint to fail at mocking me but maybe your effort would be better spent elsewhere...
      How was 1/3 chance of winning "accurate?"

      Comment


      • #18
        Originally posted by Sparko View Post
        How was 1/3 chance of winning "accurate?"


        Do you not understand how odds work?
        Last edited by Sparko; 05-26-2020, 03:18 PM.

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        • #19
          Originally posted by DivineOb View Post

          Do you not understand how odds work?
          If I give you 1 out of 3 odds to jump over a lake of fire, are you gonna take that bet?

          (and don't use my real name. I edited out of your post)

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          • #20
            Originally posted by Sparko View Post
            If I give you 1 out of 3 odds to jump over a lake of fire, are you gonna take that bet?

            (and don't use my real name. I edited out of your post)
            It depends what the possible payoff is. If there is a 1/3 chance of me making it and the reward for me making it is 1 billion dollars then I might do it.

            And in the future maybe be more careful about the information you include in cute pics you upload to mock if you don't want people looking at the metadata. Ok, I won't use your name. Let's move on then.
            Last edited by DivineOb; 05-26-2020, 03:30 PM.

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            • #21
              Originally posted by JimL View Post
              The polls were actually fairly accurate in 2016.
              Either the polls asked questions fixed to get the results they wanted (likely) or they asked the wrong people (not as likely). Or, (MOST LIKELY) enough people got fed up with issues totally unrelated to what compelled them to answer the questions to begin with.

              Two major candidates were presented to the voting public that weren't appetizing. Most voters did their duty while holding their noses, or selected others hoping for a very big miracle.

              Or...they didn't vote at all. Too bad, they selected whoever won anyway.

              Polls don't matter.
              Watch your links! http://www.theologyweb.com/campus/fa...corumetiquette

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              • #22
                Originally posted by DesertBerean View Post
                Either the polls asked questions fixed to get the results they wanted (likely) or they asked the wrong people (not as likely). Or, (MOST LIKELY) enough people got fed up with issues totally unrelated to what compelled them to answer the questions to begin with.

                Two major candidates were presented to the voting public that weren't appetizing. Most voters did their duty while holding their noses, or selected others hoping for a very big miracle.

                Or...they didn't vote at all. Too bad, they selected whoever won anyway.

                Polls don't matter.
                Yeah, polls don't matter, if you exclude the fact that they are almost always correct

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                • #23
                  Originally posted by JimL View Post
                  Yeah, polls don't matter, if you exclude the fact that they are almost always correct
                  LOL...not gonna get into a circular argument on this. Unless the same polls are taken constantly on the exact same population, they cannot be 100.percent accurate.

                  (Wondering if we're thinking of the same type of polls)
                  Watch your links! http://www.theologyweb.com/campus/fa...corumetiquette

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by Sparko View Post
                    How was 1/3 chance of winning "accurate?"
                    It's like a weather forecast. Weatherman can predict a 90% chance of rain, and if it doesn't rain, he's still right because he didn't say 100% chance.
                    Some may call me foolish, and some may call me odd
                    But I'd rather be a fool in the eyes of man
                    Than a fool in the eyes of God


                    From "Fools Gold" by Petra

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                      It's like a weather forecast. Weatherman can predict a 90% chance of rain, and if it doesn't rain, he's still right because he didn't say 100% chance.
                      If it rains 9 times out of 10 then he's 100% accurate. If it rains 10 times out of 10 then he's less than 100% accurate. *

                      I know, I know. Book larnin' is tough.

                      * over an infinite amount of time.
                      Last edited by DivineOb; 05-26-2020, 04:22 PM.

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                      • #26
                        Originally posted by rogue06 View Post
                        [ATTACH=CONFIG]44996[/ATTACH]
                        I don't get this... What's the point of the lies in the bottom right image? "A lockdown would probably make the virus much worse"? Who even comes up with these sort of insane lies that nobody would believe?
                        "I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
                        "Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
                        "[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein

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                        • #27
                          Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                          I don't get this... What's the point of the lies in the bottom right image? "A lockdown would probably make the virus much worse"? Who even comes up with these sort of insane lies that nobody would believe?
                          It shows that the idiot who made it didn't get the memo that we supposedly didn't know how dangerous the virus was going to back in January.

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Originally posted by DivineOb View Post
                            It shows that the idiot who made it didn't get the memo that we supposedly didn't know how dangerous the virus was going to back in January.
                            I have to wonder if this is actually an example of a foreign adversary (e.g. Russians) trying to stoke partisanship in the US. I struggle to think that even the most deranged Trumpist would actually write "A lockdown would probably make the virus much worse".
                            "I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
                            "Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
                            "[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Originally posted by Starlight View Post
                              I have to wonder if this is actually an example of a foreign adversary (e.g. Russians) trying to stoke partisanship in the US. I struggle to think that even the most deranged Trumpist would actually write "A lockdown would probably make the virus much worse".
                              Well, Trump himself said, "if we take less tests, they'll be less cases."

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by JimL View Post
                                Well, Trump himself said, "if we take less tests, they'll be less [detected] cases."
                                Which, assuming we add the word in brackets, is abnormally truthful for Trump.
                                "I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
                                "Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
                                "[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein

                                Comment

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