Getting realistic about the coronavirus death rate

[mikewhitney]

Deaths lag cases by a few weeks. If, in a few weeks, deaths haven't increased despite cases soaring, there'll be an interesting conversation to be had. Seems a bit weird to count on a miracle in advance though.

i think in this case, the deaths will lag by 40 years or so.

[RumTumTugger]

Meanwhile, Biden is stumbling through an answer about COVID being political, without challenging the premise that it is, indeed, political.

and apparently he had a list of those who he could call on for the questions you can bet that only those that would give him soft ball questions were on the list sounds like the Democrats are afraid to let Biden handle tough questions like Trump does? Why would anyone vote for someone who is afraid to or can't play hard ball?

[shunyadragon]

As far as fatalities world wide it is well documented that the actual fatalities are much greater than the reported numbers. It is documented that in China the actual fatalities are double the reported, for example the number of burial urns ordered are more than two times the reported casualties in Wuhan. Fear of extreme measures by the government has caused many localities to not disclose deaths due to COVID-19. Brazil and Russia greatly under reported the fatalities and downplayed the pandemic for political reasons.Worldwide there are cultural stigmas and fear based denial of COVID-19 The USA has done better; but early in the pandemic the fatality rate was under reported due to the overwhelming casualty rate in the large cities like New York. There were also many cases under not diagnosed, because COVID-19 was not well known, especially the elderly. The USA can probably back track to improve the figures for fatalities, but the under count in other countries will not be corrected by those in power..

[Cow Poke]

As far as fatalities world wide it is well documented that the actual fatalities are much greater than the reported numbers. It is documented that in China the actual fatalities are double the reported, for example the number of burial urns ordered are more than two times the reported casualties in Wuhan. Fear of extreme measures by the government has caused many localities to not disclose deaths due to COVID-19. Brazil and Russia greatly under reported the fatalities and downplayed the pandemic for political reasons.Worldwide there are cultural stigmas and fear based denial of COVID-19 The USA has done better; but early in the pandemic the fatality rate was under reported due to the overwhelming casualty rate in the large cities like New York. There were also many cases under not diagnosed, because COVID-19 was not well known, especially the elderly. The USA can probably back track to improve the figures for fatalities, but the under count in other countries will not be corrected by those in power..

Shuny, just claiming that something is "well documented" doesn't make it true. As for what comes out of China - I wouldn't believe their reports if they told me rain comes from clouds.