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January 27th 2005, 11:02 AM #1
Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
Okay trying hard to keep up with this issue.
If we privatize social security and dump that money on the stock market, what happens?
When pension plans went to 401ks we had an increase in the stock market and investment.
Questions:
Where is Social Security money currently invested?
What companies will manage the Privatized accounts, and what will be the "load" on the accounts?
What happens if this creates another "bubble" of inflated values that bursts?
Will we be able to invest in companies or countries other than the US?
Currently my father in law collects Social Security, a Civil Service pension, SSI, and a Military Pension. He makes more money than I do working, in fact he makes more money than he did when he was working.
Wasn't this multiple dipping into government pensions made illegal?
Is social security at all tied to income levels? Should it be? Should it be tied or earnings or to other pension incomes?
How many people actually live exclusively on Social Security now? How have military pensions been changed? Will the military have to depend on social security?
How many people actually have decent private pension plans?
My mother was fired from her job at 9 years and 11 months, 1 month before becoming "vested" in her pension plan. She was therefore not eligible for company benefits. Are there any laws to stop companies from this? This was a common practice of this department store. We attempted legal recourse with them over this but couldnt in the end find a lawyer or agency that would take the case.
What about retirement age? Do we need laws to stop forced or mandatory retirement first? I have to work till I am 72, but can I get a job from 62 to 72?
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January 27th 2005, 11:30 AM #2
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
Many things could happen. As it stands, the proposal is to allow a normal type of private investment for a small portion of the socsec deduction. There's an infusion of money into the market, and brokers receive fees from those investments, also.
Originally posted by Zeluvia
Probably the same sort of thing will happen.When pension plans went to 401ks we had an increase in the stock market and investment.
It isn't.Questions:
Where is Social Security money currently invested?
Your money is spent by the government MOL as though it is a regular tax. The government gives you a promise to pay you a certain amount of money when you retire, provided you meet certain conditions (such as not being too rich to qualify to get your money back). Oh, and they reserve the right to tax your social security income. If you're black, then your chances of getting your money back are slimmer, since your average life expectancy is considerably shorter.
For the average person who receives socsec retirement benefits, the payments represent a far smaller return on investment than would be expected on the basis of even below-average stock market performance.
I don't know. Probably no higher than normal.What companies will manage the Privatized accounts, and what will be the "load" on the accounts?
Some people will lose value on their investments. This isn't that big of a concern unless a person is near retirement, however. Anyway, inflated values simply reflected an overvaluing of the investment in the first place. After adjustment, you're still getting a far better return on investment over the long haul. "Far" should probably be emphasized.What happens if this creates another "bubble" of inflated values that bursts?
Good question. Freedom suggests yes, national economic self-interest suggests no.Will we be able to invest in companies or countries other than the US?

I dunno. If it is illegal, then this case is a good one of the government's right hand not knowing what the left hand is doing.Currently my father in law collects Social Security, a Civil Service pension, SSI, and a Military Pension. He makes more money than I do working, in fact he makes more money than he did when he was working.
Wasn't this multiple dipping into government pensions made illegal?
Maybe we should put the government in control of healthcare?

If you're too rich then you don't receive soc sec benefits, as I understand it. Your dad may be an exception.Is social security at all tied to income levels? Should it be? Should it be tied or earnings or to other pension incomes?
That I cannot tell you without doing research that you could probably do just as easily as I.How many people actually live exclusively on Social Security now? How have military pensions been changed? Will the military have to depend on social security?
I know of some personally.How many people actually have decent private pension plans?
Not an answer to your question, I realize. I'm skipping this one, too.
That would be a tough case to win unless there were a law compelling companies to refrain from firing employees close to their vestment date. It's an unscrupulous practice from what I can see, but companies should have say in how they will disburse company benefits so long as they do not break contract.My mother was fired from her job at 9 years and 11 months, 1 month before becoming "vested" in her pension plan. She was therefore not eligible for company benefits. Are there any laws to stop companies from this? This was a common practice of this department store. We attempted legal recourse with them over this but couldnt in the end find a lawyer or agency that would take the case.
This make a good case for private responsibility in planning for retirement. Don't trust your government or your company to take care of it for you.
That probably depends on your physical condition and work skills. I can see initiative playing a part, also.What about retirement age? Do we need laws to stop forced or mandatory retirement first? I have to work till I am 72, but can I get a job from 62 to 72?Capt. Ochre
"I am so confused."
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"I never doubted for a moment that you had what it takes!"
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January 27th 2005, 12:15 PM #3
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Female - ChristianRe: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
Over the long haul, it probably will act like the 401ks did - but the plan (what there is of it) on the table is to privatize only a portion - the funds coming from the youngest investors. I doubt we'd see an immediate jump on a huge scale.
Originally posted by Zeluvia
Captain Ochre is correct. Incoming funds are disbursed or directed elsewhere (called 'dipping' - it's a no-no that's been going on for 40+ years).Questions:
Where is Social Security money currently invested?
Don't know - waiting to see the plan unveiled - probably few private companies would manage accounts - but I honestly don't know at this stage. If it's based on the Chilean model, the government will manage the accounts proper.What companies will manage the Privatized accounts, and what will be the "load" on the accounts?
Since current and near retirees cannot use the program, they will be insulated from it (how that works is yet another question as funds that would have been disbursed are diverted into private accounts....).What happens if this creates another "bubble" of inflated values that bursts?
I doubt there will be a lot of individual selection amongst specific stocks. Probably more of a money market model. There will be a lot of pressure to choose homegrown over foreign, but I suspect some foreign investments will be included. That makes good sense financially - how it will play out politically remains to be seen.Will we be able to invest in companies or countries other than the US?
No, not as long as he is eligible and none of the programs excludes any of the others. Only Soc Sec would be problematic from the list you gave - and that would in some part depend on income and age.Currently my father in law collects Social Security, a Civil Service pension, SSI, and a Military Pension. He makes more money than I do working, in fact he makes more money than he did when he was working.
Wasn't this multiple dipping into government pensions made illegal?
Yes, but not all sources of income are equal, as I understand it. A pension is considered differently from a job - how that is formulated, I don't know.Is social security at all tied to income levels? Should it be? Should it be tied or earnings or to other pension incomes?
Not in a perfect world - you should get out what you put in, at the very least. But if that model were used initially, your grandmom and mine would have been ineligible - and likely starved (in the Depression - okay, I'm old).
Don't know.How many people actually live exclusively on Social Security now? How have military pensions been changed? Will the military have to depend on social security?
How many people actually have decent private pension plans?
I'd look into a class action lawsuit - a whole bunch of people can spread out the initial cost of the legal work - and give a company pause!My mother was fired from her job at 9 years and 11 months, 1 month before becoming "vested" in her pension plan. She was therefore not eligible for company benefits. Are there any laws to stop companies from this? This was a common practice of this department store. We attempted legal recourse with them over this but couldnt in the end find a lawyer or agency that would take the case.
Depends on the law - in some jobs, like airline pilots, having a mandatory retirement age makes sense ('This is your captain speaking. We'll be cruising at 30,000, er, no, 40,000 feet - danged gauge - and there will be prune juice for everyone! Today's my ninety-ninth birthday - where'd I put that throttle...) It's a good point - there will be some age discrimination lawsuits coming along in the next few years either way - Baby Boomers aren't likely to age gracefully.....What about retirement age? Do we need laws to stop forced or mandatory retirement first? I have to work till I am 72, but can I get a job from 62 to 72?
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January 27th 2005, 02:09 PM #4
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
When did this happen. I believe the federal law has it so that you legally are vested after 5 years now. From http://www.dol.gov/ebsa/faqs/faq_consumer_pension.html
Originally posted by Zeluvia
How long do employees have to wait to become members of a pension plan and to become vested in their benefits?
Generally, a plan may require a person to reach age 21 to be eligible to participate in the plan and to have a year of service. Vesting means the employee has earned a non-forfeitable right to benefits funded by employer contributions. Employees always have a non-forfeitable right to their own contributions.
There are changes to the two basic vesting schedules. Under the three-year schedule, workers are 100 percent vested after five years of service under the plan. The six-year graduated schedule allows workers to become 20 percent vested after two years and to vest at a rate of 20 percent each year thereafter until they are 100 percent vested after six years of service. Plans may have faster vesting schedules."What difference does it make to the dead, the orphans and the homeless, whether the mad destruction is brought under the name of totalitarianism or the holy name of liberty or democracy?"
-- Mahatma Gandhi
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January 27th 2005, 02:42 PM #5
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
"Where is social security money currently invested?"
"It isn't."
Yes it is. It is invested in US savings bonds. To claim that that is not an investment because the government spends it is ludicrous: All investment is spent by the institution to which the money is loaned. That's the whole point!
Buying US savings bonds may or may not be a great investment, but at least it's a long-term solid investment with more security than the stock market. And it's also inside our own country, so it's like employee-ownership. The English, Canadians, Germans, Japanese, etc. who own large amounts of US debt may disagree with you if you believe it is not a good investment.
Further, US savings bonds are an investment in the financial, social and military security of the United States, because, let's face it: all this money goes into one big pot in the end, and it serves all the expenditures made by the federal government. What could be more important?
"The government gives you a promise to pay you a certain amount of money when you retire, provided you meet certain conditions (such as not being too rich to qualify to get your money back)."
What? Social security is not needs-based! Maybe it should be. That would help fix it's long-term viability. Where do you get these ideas?!?!
"For the average person who receives socsec retirement benefits, the payments represent a far smaller return on investment than would be expected on the basis of even below-average stock market performance."
But social security is not meant to provide for the average person. It's meant to provide minimum subsistence for the elderly person who, otherwise, would be very poor, and become a burden on us unless we helped him out.
"After adjustment, you're still getting a far better return on investment over the long haul."
You can't possibly be that clueless. SS is an income redistribution program. It goes to pay for people who never made enough money to save! Get it?!
"If you're too rich then you don't receive soc sec benefits, as I understand it."
You obviously don't understand it. You get your info from some right-wing propaganda mill."A Noble Spirit Embiggens the Smallest Man."
Jebediah Springfield
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January 28th 2005, 11:08 PM #6
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
Okay I just watched a Democratic Committee hearing on Social Security on C-Span.
They invited the Republicans, who declined to attend, but had several economists, including some that were Republican, and some employees and trustees from Social Security itself.
This is what I got... there is a trust fund, and Social Security is running a surplus. Using the median projection which is based on a 0.6% annual growth of GDP, Social Security will run this annual surplus until 2013, at which time the Trust Fund will be huge...this is because the baby boomers are actually paying in way more than we are paying out.
From 2013 to 2042, there will be no surplus to bank, the fund will live on incoming contributions and interest from the Fund, which will be more than adequate to cover payouts.
In the medium projection, in 2042 the fund would have to either reduce benefits by 25% or make changes to the qualifications to recieve social security, as the first actual shortfall would occur then. In the High Projection, which assumes a GDP of 3%, this shortfall wouldnt happen until 2052.
It also came out that the government has borrowed against the Social Security Trust fund in the past. During Clinton, with the budget surplus, all borrowed funds were paid back and the fund was sitting pretty.
The Bush Adminstration borrowed from the Fund through bond issues to fund the tax cuts. If this money is not paid back, then Social Security will indeed be insolvent before the 2042 date.
Also, it was pointed out that the annual Social Security Statement that is issued to all citizens every year has been changed, and new language added about the insolvency of Social Security per the request of the Bush Administration. Both Social Security employees and of course Democrats felt this was a misuse of a factual government statement to advance the position of the Administration and create a scare tatic in the general populace.
Also, it was brought up that Model 2, or the most current Administration plan on the board, would not be as "free" to invest as rhetoric seems to make out. It would create a department of the government that would oversee the investments of the private accounts, with very little actual control by individuals over where these investments were put. This additional beauracracy created by the "private fund" idea, would basically invest payments made through payroll deductions into "the private sector" instead of into Treasury bonds.
Pulling Social Security investment OUT of Treasury bonds will actually INCREASE overall government debt. The government has dipped into the Social Security fund many times in the past, and in fact balancing the budget was so important for one reason to repair the loans that were taken from Social Security.
This basically moves alot of money out of investment in the US, and into investment in the private sector, which one would think would be good for the economy, however, government debt is never good. Government debt not owned by us is usually owned by some other country. Meanwhile, we have 401ks, which have already moved pensions to the private sector and IRA's which were supposed to supplement Social Security and move more saving to the private sector for retirement. Both of these options are nearly fully under individual control already.
There is a cap on what income level you must pay into Social Security, that is 89,000 this year. There doesnt seem to be any income cap on disbursement except from direct earnings from paychecks, in other words if you are still working, your Social Security benefit is reduced. Social Security takes into account no other income other than earned for capping benefits.
Approximately 30% of Social Security payouts are now to SSI program, which covers disablity, people not able to work, and pays the minor children and spouses of desceased people a living stipend. This stipend is payable till the children are 18, or if enrolled in college, till 24. SSI payouts are subject to the same earnings restrictions as Social Security.
The only figures I remember for recipients was CA, where for 850,000 people, Social Security or SSI was the sole source of income.
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January 28th 2005, 11:36 PM #7
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
The government's investment system is unique and would, I think, be illegal if adopted by any private investment firm.
Originally posted by Benster
Where are the US savings bonds that I've bought, BTW?

It'd be even better if I had them in my possession to give to somebody else if I so chose.Buying US savings bonds may or may not be a great investment, but at least it's a long-term solid investment with more security than the stock market.
An ownership-based stronger economy that would do the same thing only better?And it's also inside our own country, so it's like employee-ownership. The English, Canadians, Germans, Japanese, etc. who own large amounts of US debt may disagree with you if you believe it is not a good investment.
Further, US savings bonds are an investment in the financial, social and military security of the United States, because, let's face it: all this money goes into one big pot in the end, and it serves all the expenditures made by the federal government. What could be more important?
Perhaps you're correct and Donald Trump will get SS benefits. I get my ideas here and there. You?"The government gives you a promise to pay you a certain amount of money when you retire, provided you meet certain conditions (such as not being too rich to qualify to get your money back)."
What? Social security is not needs-based! Maybe it should be. That would help fix it's long-term viability. Where do you get these ideas?!?!
Then why does the average person pay into the system?"For the average person who receives socsec retirement benefits, the payments represent a far smaller return on investment than would be expected on the basis of even below-average stock market performance."
But social security is not meant to provide for the average person.
And that person would have done far better by investing less money in the stock market than he's getting from "US Savings Bonds" that he does not keep in his possession.It's meant to provide minimum subsistence for the elderly person who, otherwise, would be very poor, and become a burden on us unless we helped him out.
Oh, I get that aspect of social security, thanks."After adjustment, you're still getting a far better return on investment over the long haul."
You can't possibly be that clueless. SS is an income redistribution program. It goes to pay for people who never made enough money to save! Get it?!
How do you justify taking that much money out of people's paychecks to redistribute to the small number of people who never made enough money to save, particularly when taking out that amount of money hinders that person's ability to wisely see to his own retirement?
The end result is that more people are reliant on SS, and the politicians get handed a nice leash with Joe Senior Citizen collared at the other end.
That's the ultimate point of these self-perpetuating income redistribution programs.
Non sequitur."If you're too rich then you don't receive soc sec benefits, as I understand it."
You obviously don't understand it. You get your info from some right-wing propaganda mill.
Thanks for reminding me what you're like.Capt. Ochre
"I am so confused."
--mossrose, summing up the mission of Theologyweb
"If he does remove a John Powell quote, I do have a suggestion."
--Trout
"In no possible worlds would a Trout quip ever appear in a Captain Ochre sig."
--LGM, referring to the impossibility of this signature line
"I never doubted for a moment that you had what it takes!"
--LGM, congratulating Trout on accomplishing the impossible
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January 29th 2005, 12:03 AM #8
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
The trust fund is on paper.
Originally posted by Zeluvia
Makes you wonder why allowing younger folk to invest a portion of their SocSec deduction privately would be such a big deal, doesn't it?Using the median projection which is based on a 0.6% annual growth of GDP, Social Security will run this annual surplus until 2013, at which time the Trust Fund will be huge...this is because the baby boomers are actually paying in way more than we are paying out.
From 2013 to 2042, there will be no surplus to bank, the fund will live on incoming contributions and interest from the Fund, which will be more than adequate to cover payouts.
Well what are we worried about, then? Party on!In the medium projection, in 2042 the fund would have to either reduce benefits by 25% or make changes to the qualifications to recieve social security, as the first actual shortfall would occur then. In the High Projection, which assumes a GDP of 3%, this shortfall wouldnt happen until 2052.
Tax cuts do not need to be funded.It also came out that the government has borrowed against the Social Security Trust fund in the past. During Clinton, with the budget surplus, all borrowed funds were paid back and the fund was sitting pretty.
The Bush Adminstration borrowed from the Fund through bond issues to fund the tax cuts. If this money is not paid back, then Social Security will indeed be insolvent before the 2042 date.
That's spin language. The budget needs to be funded, and expenditures need to be funded (assuming expenditures do not match the budget since that would be redundant). Tax cuts are not an expense.
Interesting. What was the specific change in language? That way we can judge if the opinions regarding the language are crackpot or not.Also, it was pointed out that the annual Social Security Statement that is issued to all citizens every year has been changed, and new language added about the insolvency of Social Security per the request of the Bush Administration. Both Social Security employees and of course Democrats felt this was a misuse of a factual government statement to advance the position of the Administration and create a scare tatic in the general populace.

Scary! Sounds like a risky scheme.Also, it was brought up that Model 2, or the most current Administration plan on the board, would not be as "free" to invest as rhetoric seems to make out. It would create a department of the government that would oversee the investments of the private accounts, with very little actual control by individuals over where these investments were put. This additional beauracracy created by the "private fund" idea, would basically invest payments made through payroll deductions into "the private sector" instead of into Treasury bonds.
Huh?Pulling Social Security investment OUT of Treasury bonds will actually INCREASE overall government debt. The government has dipped into the Social Security fund many times in the past, and in fact balancing the budget was so important for one reason to repair the loans that were taken from Social Security.
1) Nobody's pulling SS investment out of Treasury bonds, AFAICS. It would decrease future investment in such bonds and
2) It is a non sequitur that government debt would increase, since increase economic activity results in increased tax revenue. If you want to fix government debt, the logical place to start is with (limits on) government spending.
See above. Taxes paid are an investment in the government, and private retirement accounts will get you better return than government ones.This basically moves alot of money out of investment in the US, and into investment in the private sector, which one would think would be good for the economy, however, government debt is never good.
It's a no-brainer.
I stand corrected, I think, though a citation would have been nice. I can't find anything to the contrary, however, so I accept that as being the case.There is a cap on what income level you must pay into Social Security, that is 89,000 this year. There doesnt seem to be any income cap on disbursement except from direct earnings from paychecks, in other words if you are still working, your Social Security benefit is reduced. Social Security takes into account no other income other than earned for capping benefits.
What were the earnings restrictions on SS? Seems like you just got done saying that there were none.Approximately 30% of Social Security payouts are now to SSI program, which covers disablity, people not able to work, and pays the minor children and spouses of desceased people a living stipend. This stipend is payable till the children are 18, or if enrolled in college, till 24. SSI payouts are subject to the same earnings restrictions as Social Security.
Hopefully you'll balance your impressions by listening to Republicans discuss Social Security (maybe they'll even invite the Democrats).Capt. Ochre
"I am so confused."
--mossrose, summing up the mission of Theologyweb
"If he does remove a John Powell quote, I do have a suggestion."
--Trout
"In no possible worlds would a Trout quip ever appear in a Captain Ochre sig."
--LGM, referring to the impossibility of this signature line
"I never doubted for a moment that you had what it takes!"
--LGM, congratulating Trout on accomplishing the impossible
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January 29th 2005, 12:50 AM #9
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
sure I will....
the actual language in the letter I cant find right now, but will look.
about the tax cut being funded by Social Security, god knows how they move this money on paper, but basically it was another bond issue secured by existing Social Security assets (which are also bonds) to cover the budget shortfall caused by the tax cut.
I think two things alarmed me the most, the plan being proposed not being under our control, and the possiblity of dismantling entirely our countrys main safety net for the eldery and disabled.
Also, I can see economic benefit from moving more savings into private sector, I would like to see the current IRA system enhanced more. This seems to make sense to me.
For instance, instead of cutting my taxes, or changing Social Security, give me larger tax benefit from IRA contributions and make IRA investing easier and way more flexible.
As long as I dont take the money out, I would like to be able to move it around and even invest it in the stock market if I so chose. Wouldnt that work too?
I dont see much difference between pulling money out of paychecks for social security and pulling money out of paychecks to go to another government agency to invest for me in the stock market.
I also think the dividend tax does need to be changed, however I think technically by existing tax code and theory, the dividends paid out should NOT be taxable to the company, only the the recipient of the return on investment.
Meanwhile, back in corporate tax law, there are some HUGE areas of tax theory that could use to be revisited. Depriciation, expense accounts, parachutes, options, advertising write-offs, foreign tax credits, other assorted credit systems.
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January 29th 2005, 06:59 AM #10
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Female - ChristianRe: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
From the SS act itself - gets kinda complicated after ... no, it's just complicated throughout.
If you need help sleeping, there's the link to the whole thing. (Yawn) Time for beddie bye for me!
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OP_Home/ssact/comp-ssa.htm
** edited for space
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January 29th 2005, 10:32 AM #11
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
Yeah and I did get it wrong, my father died and I received Social Security while in college, but that program is discontunied. Dependents no longer receive payments till 24 while in school. The cut off date is 18
Basically Captain Ochre is right...it is on paper. There is a Trust Fund of Treasury Bonds, but the government owns the liablity on these bonds. In other words, the government is indebt to Social Security. Once the surplus stops in 2018 or 2013 (depends on which projection and whose), the government has to pay the interest on the bonds, which it seems it DOESNT actually do now with cash, just on paper. The issue seems to be that right now social security MAKES money for the government,
Now I am wondering what percentage of Treasury Bonds are in the Trust fund?
Also, what happened is that the surplus money collected from the baby boomers above and beyond Social Security payouts has been credited to the Trust Fund, but in most years this surplus was actually rolled back into the general budget and spent.
One suggestion I liked, was just allowing Current Social Security investments to be diversified. This seems to do the same thing Model 2 does, without reducing the amount of income coming into Social Security, doesnt create another agency, doesnt make more money for wall street brokers.
Apparently alot of other countries have this kind of retirement plan.
Britians plan had a high end mangement and admistration load, that was eating 40% of contributions. It was also badly designed, and the private companies that offered the plan did some unscrouplous things, causing the government to have to step in and regulate management fees and pay back 10 million dollars lost because of unclear choice selections.
Chile's president told his people during one extremely bad stock dip, not to retire till the market improved.
Meanwhile Captain, I wish you would investigate the allegations the Administration has directed Social Security department employees to specifically tell citizens as part of their information disbursement about Social Security that Privatized Accounts are the ONLY way to save Social Security. Two 30 year employees of Social Security were on the committee with excerpts from the SS intranet of employee directives to discuss Privatization as the only way to save SS, even though they were told not to use the word "Privatize"
Also, was someone who said "Social Security is the soft underbelly of the welfare state"
but I cant find out who exactly is saying that.
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January 29th 2005, 07:30 PM #12
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
Well, looking at the big picture, the rich can't get Social Security (as Ochre mentioned), and the benefits computation is pretty complicated, but I'd say that SS is, in part, a wealth redistibution scheme. An interesting thing about SS is that benefit levels are affected by other pensions. For example, let's say that you're drawing a national pension from Japan of Y50,000/month. Simply put, that amount ($500 for argument's sake) is deducted from your computed SS benefit of, say $1000, so you get $500 (not $1000) from SS.
As for the market effects of SS privatization, I say it's better to invest that money in mutual funds, rather than individual stock picks. I'm pretty sure the government will create it's own managed funds for the stewardship of SS (as it now does with the Thrift Savings Plan), so don't put your broker on speed-dial just yet. Lastly, retirement investment strategy is long-term, so SS will most likely be a sheep-herd of money following the large cap companies (like the S&P 500), so don't anticipate any great shakes if/when SS is privatized.
Of course, when the economy tanks, so will SS, so this really is a losing plan."To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public. Nothing but the truth should be spoken about him or any one else. But it is even more important to tell the truth, pleasant or unpleasant, about him than about any one else." - Theodore Roosevelt
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January 30th 2005, 07:11 PM #13
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
Actually it wasnt designed to be a wealth redistribution plan. The idea that earnings are only taxed for Social Security up to a ceiling of $89,000 and the rich don't recieve benefits is part of how this keeps from being wealth redistribution. The fact is, the original idea was a earned credit toward retirement insurance.
Historically up to 90% of the median wage was the tax base. We are currently only taxing up to 85% of the median wage.
However, the SSI piece is slightly different since it covers disabled workers and orphans. This clearly isn't an "earned" insurance plan, but an insurance plan nonetheless.
Compared with Medicare, Medicaid, and welfare, Social Security as an insurance plan makes quite a bit of rational sense. Too bad we had that pesky baby boom.
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January 31st 2005, 12:29 PM #14
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
[QUOTE=Captain Ochre]The trust fund is on paper.
So is my bank account! And yours! What's the point? The govenment will have to pay back the money it has borrowed from social security. If it can't, by raising taxes, then SS will have to reduce payments. Big deal. Where's the crisis? Bush is arguing for abolishment by saying "You can't trust us...we spent all your SS money on this unnecessary war. So go to private accounts instead!" Ludicrous.
"akes you wonder why allowing younger folk to invest a portion of their SocSec deduction privately would be such a big deal, doesn't it?"
People who can afford to already invest in private accounts. Many will never earn enough...EVER...to invest money! They can barely get by week to week. What about them?
"Tax cuts are not an expense."
You need a basic class in macroeconomics, dude. Tax cuts are an expense, or an investment in the economy. They represent giving back money that WAS due to the government, so they are viturally indistinguishable from government expenditures or investment in the US economy. That's the whole argument for them!
"If you want to fix government debt, the logical place to start is with (limits on) government spending."
I can barely keep up with the non-sequiturs! In order to keep an economy healthy, you have to alternate periods of taxing and saving (during booms) with tax cuts and invesment (during recessions)! Think about it.
"Taxes paid are an investment in the government, and private retirement accounts will get you better return than government ones.
It's a no-brainer."
That is is...in some way...
Taxes paid are the primary fiunding for the government. They are NOT investment. Tax CUTS are investment. Taxes SPENT by the government are investment. Taxes paid by us are NOT an investment in the economy until they are spent.
"hat were the earnings restrictions on SS? Seems like you just got done saying that there were none."
There are none. That is why we have to make some, and save SS...It's a no-brainer!
"opefully you'll balance your impressions by listening to Republicans discuss Social Security (maybe they'll even invite the Democrats)."
"ou won't find D's or R's discuss the issue honestly...yet."A Noble Spirit Embiggens the Smallest Man."
Jebediah Springfield
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January 31st 2005, 12:33 PM #15
Re: Social Security Reform and the Dow Jones
"Well, looking at the big picture, the rich can't get Social Security (as Ochre mentioned)..."
What are you talking about? Social security payments are not tied to wealth!"A Noble Spirit Embiggens the Smallest Man."
Jebediah Springfield
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