Current trends indicate that the El Nino is ending and La Nina is emerging. This article has good graphs and temoerature records for April and May 2016 supporting this change is taking place.
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The weather for 2016
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Last edited by shunyadragon; 06-08-2016, 06:49 AM.Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:
go with the flow the river knows . . .
Frank
I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.
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the data will be out for June in a week or so. While we are waiting I thought would bring up Global rise in CO2. The elephant in the room is the dramatic rise in CO2 levels due to human influence.
http://climate.nasa.gov/climate_resources/24/
The graphic of the site is very impressive.
Also we need a break from Jorge's science fiction lessons.Last edited by shunyadragon; 06-29-2016, 07:52 PM.Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:
go with the flow the river knows . . .
Frank
I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.
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Not sure if this has been linked to before, but I've found this site a good resource on climate change including news and rebuttals to common arguments against AGW. http://www.skepticalscience.com/
The general trends as far as the arguments go seem to be that the consensus predictions on various markers of climate change have actually been too conservative and that the arguments against tend to rely on anomaly hunting, expert cherry picking, and/or misinterpreting (unintentionally or intentionally) scientific findings similar to what happened with leaded gasoline and cigarettes.
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It looks like the past six months have been pretty warm across most of the globe. Unfortunately, data seems pretty limited across much of South America and Africa.
(From the Alaska Climate Info Facebook page)Find my speling strange? I'm trying this out: Simplified Speling. Feel free to join me.
"Nature has placed mankind under the governance of two sovereign masters, pain and pleasure. It is for them alone to point out what we ought to do, as well as to determine what we shall do."-Jeremy Bentham
"We question all our beliefs, except for the ones that we really believe in, and those we never think to question."-Orson Scott Card
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Originally posted by stfoskey15 View PostIt looks like the past six months have been pretty warm across most of the globe. Unfortunately, data seems pretty limited across much of South America and Africa.
(From the Alaska Climate Info Facebook page)Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:
go with the flow the river knows . . .
Frank
I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.
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NASA now has the June numbers up:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
Things have dropped down to "well, it's record heat, but it's not ludicrously above the previous record" territory. Specifically, it's only 0.01ºC above last June, which is probably within the margin of error. Last June was when the El Niño was starting to kick in; now it's on the way out.
Still, it being a record for June means that it preserves the streak of months with record temperatures. Starting last October, which was the hottest October on record, every month since has set a new record - that's 8 in a row."Any sufficiently advanced stupidity is indistinguishable from trolling."
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Originally posted by sylas in msg #2 of the thread View PostMy guesstimate:
2016 will be even hotter than 2015. That's a big call; because 2015 was a huge spike in temperatures; generally we'd expect things to cool down a bit after a big spike. I do expect a cool down; but I think it may well be in 2017 rather than 2016. El Nino generally seems to have a slightly delayed effect on global temperatures; which means that even as the current El Nino fades, its effects should continue well into 2016... which means 2016 is very likely to be another hot year (mean global anomaly).
Cheers -- sylas
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Originally posted by sylas View PostNice call by me, back in January! I admit I lucked out somewhat; short term predictions are a good way to loose your shirt.Jorge: Functional Complex Information is INFORMATION that is complex and functional.
MM: First of all, the Bible is a fixed document.
MM on covid-19: We're talking about an illness with a better than 99.9% rate of survival.
seer: I believe that so called 'compassion' [for starving Palestinian kids] maybe a cover for anti Semitism, ...
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The following is an interesting site on the trends of el ninos and la ninas over recent history, The graphs show a cyclic progressive increasing intensity of the Oceanic el ninos in a ~9-15 year cycle.
http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
I would show the graph, but I do not know how to do that,Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:
go with the flow the river knows . . .
Frank
I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.
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Where are we at concerning the el nino/la nina transition?
On possible consequence of the coming La Nina years is the hurricane freqency may increase, particularly next year.Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:
go with the flow the river knows . . .
Frank
I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.
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July's NASA numbers are out. Once again, hottest July on record. Gavin Schmidt, who runs NASA's Goddard Institute, indicates we're now at the point where 2016 has a 99% chance of being a new record:
https://twitter.com/ClimateOfGavin/s...37770839269378"Any sufficiently advanced stupidity is indistinguishable from trolling."
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