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The weather for 2016

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  • Originally posted by stfoskey15 View Post
    October 2016 temperature update:
    https://www.wunderground.com/news/wa...prclt=6jf5WsFi
    It was the second warmest October on record, and 2016 still looks to be the warmest year on record. There has been a lot of heat in the Arctic and a lot of cold in Siberia lately.
    Thank you for the reference! Waiting for the final tally for October 2016.
    Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
    Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
    But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:

    go with the flow the river knows . . .

    Frank

    I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.

    Comment


    • Incidentally, unless aliens show up and dump a bunch of liquid nitrogen on the planet, it's safe to say that this year will mark the 40th year in a row that the temperature has been above last century's average global temperature. In other words, if you can't remember the bicentennial, then you can't remember a year that's been below average, temperature wise.
      "Any sufficiently advanced stupidity is indistinguishable from trolling."

      Comment


      • The final analysis of the data is in for October 2016. Warming trends continue.

        Source: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201610


        The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for October 2016 tied with 2003 as the third highest for October in the 137-year period of record, at 0.73°C (1.31°F) above the 20th century average of 14.0°C (57.1°F). This is 0.26°C (0.47°F) cooler than the record warmth of October 2015 when El Nińo conditions were strengthening and 0.50°C (0.90°F) cooler than the all-time record warmth of March 2016 when the El Nińo was near the end of its peak. Including 2016, the past three Octobers have been the three warmest in the historical record; however, October 2016 also marked the lowest monthly departure from average for any month since November 2014, which was 0.69°C (1.24°F) above average.

        The average global temperature across land surfaces was 0.76°C (1.37°F) above the 20th century average of 9.3°C (48.7°F)—the 16th highest October global land temperature on record but also the lowest October value since 2002, when the departure from average was +0.49°C (+0.88°F).

        Warmer- to much-warmer-than-average conditions were present across large areas of the world's land surface, with record warmth across parts of Mexico and the Caribbean, parts of west central Africa, sections of southeastern Asia, western Alaska extending to Far East Russia, where temperatures were more than 5°C (9°F) above their 1981–2010 averages, according to the Land & Ocean Temperature Percentiles map above. Cooler- and much-cooler-than-average conditions were observed much of western Canada, most of eastern Europe, and a large swath extending across much of central Asia, where temperatures were more than 5°C (9°F) above below their 1981–2010 averages in places. No land areas experienced record cold temperatures during October 2016. According to NCEI's Global Regional analysis, Africa as a whole observed its second warmest October on record, behind only 2015, while North America had its seventh warmest. Asia observed its 39th coolest October in the 107-year continental record.

        Select national information is highlighted below. Please note that different countries report anomalies with respect to different base periods. The information provided here is based directly upon these data:

        Due primarily to a very warm start to the month, Quebec, Canada, observed October anomalies 2–3°C (4–5°F) higher than average for the month.

        Australia was cooler than average during October, with the mean temperature ranking in the bottom third (0.50°C / 0.90°F below its 1961–1990 average) among all Octobers in a series dating to 1910. The minimum temperature was the 20th lowest for October, at 0.73°C (1.31°F) below average. The below-average temperatures were widespread across the country: every state was cooler than average for the month, with the exception of Western Australia, which was 0.33°C (0.59°F) warmer than its 1961–1990 average.
        With a national temperature 0.4°C (0.7°F) below the 1981–2010 average, October 2016 was the coolest month for Austria with respect to its average since August 2014, when the temperature was 1.1°C (2.0°F) below its monthly average. The "gloomiest" October since 1998 across the country contributed to the below-average temperature, according to ZAMG.

        Parts of Greenland, including the eastern coast and Camp Summit, were record warm in October, with several stations reporting new monthly high temperatures. Among the largest departures, Daneborg was 7.4°C (13.3°F) warmer than its 1981–2010 average with a record dating to 1958, while Summit, at the top of the Greenland ice sheet with a record to 1991, was 7.3°C (13.1°F) above average.
        For the oceans, the October globally-averaged sea surface temperature was 0.72°C (1.30°F) above the 20th century average of 15.9°C (60.6°F), the second highest for October on record, behind 2015 by 0.14°C (0.25°F). Including 2016, the past five Octobers (2012–2016) have had the five highest October global ocean temperatures in the 137-year record.

        © Copyright Original Source

        Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
        Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
        But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:

        go with the flow the river knows . . .

        Frank

        I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.

        Comment


        • Human influenced Global Warming has generated a feed back process involving the increased production of microbial activity in soils which apparently accelerates Global Warming.

          Source: http://www.scienceworldreport.com/articles/54009/20161208/climate-change-news-feedback-found-worsening-greenhouse-emission-humans-time.htm



          Climate Change News: 'Feedback' Found Worsening Of Greenhouse Emission; It Is Not From Humans This Time

          As people could feel the alarming effect of climate change, more studies have been conducted. Thus, a huge research that investigates the effects of global warming found that it will just get worse.
          The current huge-scale study with no less than 50 authors from all around the world documented a what they call climate system "feedback." The authors claimed that the global warming could be remarkably worse over the coming decades. The study was published in the journal Nature.
          In the feedback, they have found that the soil of the planet became a massive depository of carbon because of the plants and roots that have grown and died in them. In many cases, these happened over a vast time period, wherein the plants pull in carbon from the air through photosynthesis and use it to fuel their growth.
          Thus, it has been long feared by that as warming rises, the microorganisms present in the soils would "feedback" or respond by very naturally increasing the rate of their respiration. It is a process where, in turn, they release methane or carbon dioxide that is the leading cause of greenhouse gasses.
          This concern was validated by the new study. The paper shows that "Our analysis provides empirical support for the long-held concern that rising temperatures stimulate the loss of soil C to the atmosphere, driving a positive land C-climate feedback that could accelerate planetary warming over the twenty-first century," Top News reported.

          © Copyright Original Source

          Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
          Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
          But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:

          go with the flow the river knows . . .

          Frank

          I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.

          Comment


          • November 2016 data is in and still hotter than average

            Source: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/


            U.S. had its warmest autumn and 2nd warmest November on record

            The contiguous U.S. average November temperature was 48.0°F, which was 6.3°F above the 20th century average. This was the second warmest November in the 122-year period of record, behind November 1999 (48.1°F). The contiguous U.S. average temperature for September-November was 57.6°F, 4.1°F above the 20th century average, the warmest autumn period on record for the second consecutive year. The previous record from 2015 was 56.8°F.

            November was largely dry for the contiguous U.S., with a precipitation total of 1.73 inches, 0.50 inch below the 20th century average. This was the 25th driest November of the 122-year record. Precipitation during autumn was near the middle of the record nationally, with wet extremes in the Northwest and dry extremes in the Central Rockies, Gulf Coast region and interior Southeast.

            The year-to-date (January-November) contiguous U.S. average temperature was 56.9°F, 3.1°F above average, and the second warmest value on record, following 2012 at 57.0°F. The January-through-November precipitation, totaled across the contiguous U.S., was 28.96 inches, 1.37 inches above normal.

            This analysis of U.S. temperature and precipitation is based on data back to January 1895, resulting in 122 years of data.

            © Copyright Original Source

            Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
            Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
            But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:

            go with the flow the river knows . . .

            Frank

            I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.

            Comment


            • Dishonest unethical Breibart misuses science and Weather Channel reporting.

              Source: http://www.cbsnews.com/news/weather-channel-breitbart-stop-misleading-public-on-temperatures-climate-change/



              Weather Channel to Breitbart: Stop using us to mislead public on climate change

              In an unusually direct message, the Weather Channel is taking Breitbart to task for using Weather Channel content to “mislead Americans” about climate change.

              “Though we would prefer to focus on our usual coverage of weather and climate science, in this case we felt it important to add our two cents,” the Weather Channel wrote in a post on its website Tuesday.

              It firmly denied a claim that overall global temperatures are declining, an idea promoted by Breitbart and spread widely on social media.

              The company was specifically concerned after Breitbart — the right-wing opinion website that had been led by President-elect Donald Trump’s chief advisor Steve Bannon — used a Weather Channel video clip atop an article that claimed the last three years of weather patterns represent “the final death rattle of the global warming scare.”

              Trump team defends controversial pick for top White House role
              Play VIDEO
              Trump team defends controversial pick for top White House role
              Breitbart is the primary megaphone of the alt-right, an extreme right-wing movement promoting white nationalism that has gained new national stature with Bannon’s involvement in the Trump campaign and future administration.

              The Weather Channel explained that, while Breitbart had the legal right to use its video clip through a content sharing agreement, it did not want to stand idly by without addressing the article’s specific, erroneous claims.

              The Weather Channel outlined multiple examples of Breitbart “cherry picking, or pulling a single item out of context to build a misleading case.”

              © Copyright Original Source

              Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
              Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
              But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:

              go with the flow the river knows . . .

              Frank

              I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.

              Comment


              • 2016 Edges 1998 as Warmest Year on Record

                Source: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/01/170104130257.htm?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily%2Fearth_climate%2Fglobal_warming+(Global+Warming+News+--+ScienceDaily)



                Globally, 2016 edged out 1998 by +0.02 C to become the warmest year in the 38-year satellite temperature record, according to scientists. Because the margin of error is about 0.10 C, this would technically be a statistical tie, with a higher probability that 2016 was warmer than 1998. The main difference was the extra warmth in the Northern Hemisphere in 2016 compared to 1998.

                © Copyright Original Source

                Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
                Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
                But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:

                go with the flow the river knows . . .

                Frank

                I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.

                Comment


                • Source: https://www.adn.com/arctic/2017/01/05/2016-was-earths-hottest-year-on-record-by-a-wide-margin-especially-in-the-arctic/



                  Report: 2016 was Earth's hottest year on record by a wide margin, especially in Arctic

                  OSLO – Last year was the hottest on record by a wide margin, with temperatures creeping close to a ceiling set by almost 200 nations for limiting global warming, the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service said on Thursday.

                  The data are the first of the new year to confirm many projections that 2016 will exceed 2015 as the warmest since reliable records began in the 19th century, it said in a report.

                  The Arctic was the region showing the sharpest rise in temperatures, while many other areas of the globe, including parts of Africa and Asia, also suffered unusual heat, it said.

                  Surface air temperature anomaly for 2016 relative to the average for 1981-2010. Source: ERA-Interim. (Credit: ECMWF, Copernicus Climate Change Service)
                  Surface air temperature anomaly for 2016 relative to the average for 1981-2010. Source: ERA-Interim. (Credit: ECMWF, Copernicus Climate Change Service)
                  Small parts of all continents, plus much of Antarctica, were cooler than normal.

                  Global surface temperatures in 2016 averaged 14.8 degrees Celsius (58.64°F), or 1.3C (2.3F) higher than is estimated before the Industrial Revolution ushered in wide use of fossil fuels, the EU body said.

                  In 2015, almost 200 nations agreed at a summit in Paris to limit global warming to "well below" 2C above pre-industrial times while pursuing efforts to hold the rise to 1.5C as part of a sweeping shift away from fossil fuels toward clean energy.

                  Temperatures last year broke a 2015 record by almost 0.2C (0.36F), Copernicus said, boosted by a build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and by a natural El Nino weather event in the Pacific Ocean, which releases heat to the atmosphere.

                  In February 2016 alone, temperatures were 1.5C above estimated pre-industrial times, the study said. Rising heat is blamed for stoking wildfires, heat waves, droughts, floods and more powerful downpours that disrupt water and food supplies.

                  © Copyright Original Source

                  Glendower: I can call spirits from the vasty deep.
                  Hotspur: Why, so can I, or so can any man;
                  But will they come when you do call for them? Shakespeare’s Henry IV, Part 1, Act III:

                  go with the flow the river knows . . .

                  Frank

                  I do not know, therefore everything is in pencil.

                  Comment


                  • 2016 was the warmest year on record according to NASA and NOAA. The El Nino was partially responsible for the record warm year, but the emission of CO2 and other greenhouse gases by humans was the primary factor.

                    Originally posted by NASA Press Release
                    Earth’s 2016 surface temperatures were the warmest since modern recordkeeping began in 1880, according to independent analyses by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

                    Globally-averaged temperatures in 2016 were 1.78 degrees Fahrenheit (0.99 degrees Celsius) warmer than the mid-20th century mean. This makes 2016 the third year in a row to set a new record for global average surface temperatures.
                    https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/n...ecord-globally
                    Find my speling strange? I'm trying this out: Simplified Speling. Feel free to join me.

                    "Nature has placed mankind under the governance of two sovereign masters, pain and pleasure. It is for them alone to point out what we ought to do, as well as to determine what we shall do."-Jeremy Bentham

                    "We question all our beliefs, except for the ones that we really believe in, and those we never think to question."-Orson Scott Card

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