What I present below is merely a handful of reasons, some rigorously formulated and some not, why I think unconditional election is false. I welcome any objections, comments, questions, or whatever.* Enjoy.
I.
Unconditional Election Implies that God is Unjust
(1) It is unjust to punish someone for something over which they have, or had, no control.
(2) If unconditional election is true, then a god would be condemning people to hell for something (being sinners) over which they had no control.
(3) Therefore, a god who performs unconditional election would be unjust. (From 1 & 2)
(4) But God is just.
(5) Therefore, unconditional election is false. (From 3 & 4)
Anticipated objection against (2): Of course, the unelect who went to hell did have control over the fact they were sinners. God can justly send sinners to hell. Sinners deserve hell, don’t they?
Reply: But, those people remained sinners only because God never elected them in the first place. If He elected them to begin with, they wouldn’t have remained sinners. They had no control over the fact that God didn’t elect them (after all, it happened before they were born), and they had no control over the fact that God’s not electing them entailed their perpetual state of sinfulness in God’s eyes. Therefore, they had no control over the fact that they remained sinners in God‘s eyes, and thereby went to hell. If unconditional election is true, it seems like God is creating souls, choosing not to elect them -- ipso facto cutting them off from any chance to not remain sinners -- and then destroying them shortly thereafter for remaining sinners.
II.
Unconditional Election Implies that Nobody has Free Will
(6) S has free will with respect to choosing to do D only if (i) S could have chosen ~D, and (ii) S is ultimately responsible for choosing D.
(7) If unconditional election is true, then for any person x, and for any choice to do y by x, it’s false that x could have chosen ~y, and x is not ultimately responsible for choosing y.
(8) Therefore, if unconditional election is true, then nobody has free will.
(9) But many of us have free will.
(10) Therefore, unconditional election is false.
Definitions:
S is ultimately responsible for bringing about some state of affairs T =df. (i) S is personally responsible for bringing T about, and (ii) for any two occurrences of events o1 and o2, if S is personally responsible for o1, and if o2 is an explanation for o1, then S is personally responsible for o2.
S is personally responsible for bring about some state of affairs T =df. T's obtaining entails that there is at least one action A, such that S voluntarily did or did not perform A, and A causally contributed to T. (These are influenced by Kane '96.)
nb: (6) not only requires alternate possibilities, but also ultimate responsibility; I know of no frankfurt-style counterexample to these joint requirements.
III.
Unconditional Election is Metaphysically Problematic
Most who believe in unconditional election believe that there is nothing about us which serves to inform, or even remotely influence, God's decision to elect. If God elects so-and-so, it is not based on anything particularly unique about so-and-so. After all, the election is
unconditional. Many will gladly endorse
P: For any person S, and for any property (or feature or quality) F of S, God does not actively consider F(S) at the moment of electing S.
So,
(11) If unconditional election is true, then P.
(12) But ~(P)
(13) Therefore, unconditional election is false.
Why (12)? Because if P is true, then God does not actively consider properties (or features or qualities) such as being
self-identical,
being human, bearing the relation of
conducing to so-and-so's salvation,
having a haecceity or an
essence. But if this is true, the set of objects on which God performs election would be a vast blur to God; God would not be considering anything that serves to distinguish one object from another. Moreover, humans would be indistinguishable from inanimate obects like rocks and tables. So P is metaphysically problematic. (12) is true.
(nb: E is an essence of S iff E is a property that is essential to S and, for any possible world W, everything distinct from S in W has ~E essentially.) (See Plantinga, 1974)
IV.
Unconditional Election Robs God of His Glory
(14) God brings more glory to Himself in making salvation possible for all humans than He would were He to make salvation possible only for some.
(15) God does that which brings Him more glory.
(16) Therefore, God makes salvation possible for all people. (from 14 and 15)
(17) If unconditional election is true, God would make salvation possible only for some.
(18) Therefore, unconditional election is false. (from 16 and 17)
V.
Unconditional Election Takes Away Salvation-assurance
(19) If unconditional election is true, then we can’t be assured of our salvation.
(20) But the bible says we can be assured of our salvation.
(21) Therefore, unconditional election is false.
Given that we weren’t there watching God as he unconditionally elected people (assuming He did), we don’t really know who He picked. Ultimately, the only way to know that you’re part of the elect, and thus saved, is to wait until you die and see where you wind up. Other than that, you may speculate based on the amount of religious experience in your life. This seems contrary to what John says: we can know that we are saved -- we know we are saved when we have put our faith in Christ.
VI.
Unconditional election isn’t supported by Scripture
(22) Unconditional election is true only if it's supported by Scripture.
(23) Scripture doesn't support unconditional election.
(24) So, unconditional election is false.
(Unconditional election is 'supported by' scripture =df. (i) there is at least one proposition p in the Bible such that p entails the truth of unconditional election.)
For the verses picked out to support unconditional election, they could serve as equally strong evidence for election via middle knowledge. Thus, they don't entail unconditional election; in fact, the precise nature of election is underdetermined with repsect to biblical data. For example, take the drawing in John chapter 6: does the Father weakly draw people or strongly draw them?
God weakly draws S to Christ iff (i) there is a state of affairs T such that God actualizes T and T counterfactually implies S's freely coming to Christ. God strongly draws S to Christ iff (i) God causes S to come to Christ. (This is (slightly) influenced by Plantinga '88)
The problem is that the passage does not indicate the exact sense in which people are drawn; only that they are drawn in some sense. And it doesn’t seem that there’s a forthcoming exegetical method for determining whether the ‘strong’ or ‘weak’ sense of God's action is being used in many of the typical verses appealed to in support of unconditional election.
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*As I've presented it, this issue properly falls within philosophical theology. So, I posted it in the theo dept. and here.
Kane ('96), The Significance of Free Will
Plantinga ('74), The Nature of Necessity
____('88), "Epistemic Probability and Evil", The Evidential Argument from Evil, ed. Howard-Snyder