Unless something dramatic happens in the next few months, it appears that in November the Democrats will easily hold on to the House and take back the Presidency. The interesting race will be for the Senate.
Two months ago, it was possible but unlikely that the Democrats would regain control of the Senate. Now, the odds seem to favour the Democrats by a substantial margin.
Based upon the latest state level polls, if the election were to be held today the senate would end up being:
54 - Democrats
43 - Republicans
3 - tied (Iowa, Kentucky, and South Carolina)
With the exception of the three states which are currently tied, all tossup and close states would currently go to the Democrats, although in some cases their lead is pretty small (1 point in Kansas and "Georgia Special", and 2 points in North Carolina and Georgia).
The above statistics based upon the latest polls posted on the fivethirtyeight website.
Two months ago, it was possible but unlikely that the Democrats would regain control of the Senate. Now, the odds seem to favour the Democrats by a substantial margin.
Based upon the latest state level polls, if the election were to be held today the senate would end up being:
54 - Democrats
43 - Republicans
3 - tied (Iowa, Kentucky, and South Carolina)
With the exception of the three states which are currently tied, all tossup and close states would currently go to the Democrats, although in some cases their lead is pretty small (1 point in Kansas and "Georgia Special", and 2 points in North Carolina and Georgia).
The above statistics based upon the latest polls posted on the fivethirtyeight website.
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