Originally posted by Rationalist
Many people would take a "one in a million chance" actually happening to be the sign of a miracle. The problem is that in a world where are six or seven odd billion people, one in a million odds come up all the time.
I would not define a miracle as a "one in a million chance"...although the improbability is one of two criteria I have for a miracle...
Originally posted by Rationalist
A true miracle is an event where, given our knowledge of how the natural world works, the odds of it ever occuring are 0. It can't be merely "pretty unlikely but still within the realm of natural possibility".
I think this definition has some problems though...we could say that even if our
current knowledge gives a chance of zero it is possible that future knowledge will show that the event is possible...so I dont find this definition to be very useful...
A miracle isnt just some random unlikely event...there are many observations of unlikely events occuring. For example...the probability that
someone will win the lottery is different than the probability that
you specifically will win the lottery. Yet people do win the lottery...is this a miracle? No..its just probability.
A miracle has to be an event that isnt just improbable, but has intentionality as well. Many events that I would
like to label a miracle I can't based on my own criteria and that goes for most miracle claims I have heard from family and friends.
Many Christians I know are not eager to share "experiences" or "miracles" with me because I end up telling them the event isn't worthy of a supernatural label.
Originally posted by Rationalist
If you have witnessed a true miracle, then you are one of the lucky few to whom God has shown his power. Unfortunately God hides this same power from everyone else, including scientists searching for objective evidence. Why would he do this?
I don't really know and it is something that I struggle with almost on a daily basis...everytime I pray I ask God why he doesn't do more visible miracles and I never get an answer.
I continue to pray (often with tears) that He does something like healing an amputee so that people can have no doubt they have witnessed a miracle.
Originally posted by Rationalist
The problem is that the rule of parsimony happens to work in most cases, and that's why it's used. In the absence of evidence, it's simply not a very good idea to choose a favored hypothesis when you do not have adequate evidence for that hypothesis in particular. In all matters where evidence "can" actually be marshalled to resolve an issue, parsimony seems to work better than arbitrary explanations. In other words, the simplest explanations for a phenomena have an excellent track record of being the best.
I dont necessairly disagree with you here, but assuming that this rule applies to every case in such a way that rules out a miracle seem to be foolish to me. One has to look at each claim as an individual case and go from there.
Russ